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Management credibility scorecard

Keel Infrastructure Corp. (formerly Bitfarms) (BITF)

9 quarters tracked (Q2'24 to Q2'26) · latest call August 10, 2026
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52%
Kept of 29 resolved
15
Kept or exceeded
14
Missed
29
Still pending

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q2'26August 10, 20267/123 medium, 4 low flags02Call sheet →
Q1'26May 11, 20263/123 high, 5 medium, 1 low flags12Call sheet →
Q4'25March 31, 20265/123 high, 4 medium, 1 low flags12Call sheet →
Q3'25November 13, 20255/124 high, 4 medium, 1 low flags21Call sheet →
Q2'25August 12, 20259/121 high, 3 medium, 3 low flags20Call sheet →
Q1'25May 14, 20253/123 high, 3 medium, 2 low flags20Call sheet →
Q4'24March 27, 20255/122 high, 4 medium, 2 low flags33Call sheet →
Q3'24November 13, 20245/124 high, 4 medium flags13Call sheet →
Q2'24August 9, 20248/122 high, 3 medium, 2 low flags31Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q2'26PendingCredit line and/or ATM to be put in place 'at some point this year'
Period has not ended, and no mention of a credit line or ATM facility was made on the Q2 call, actual not stated on the call
Q2'26PendingScrubgrass detailed load study results expected around end of year/Q4 2026
Period has not ended; current quarter language softened to a general 'December or January' update window across all expansion items rather than a Scrubgrass-specific confirmation
Q2'26MissedMoses Lake 10MW expansion option available to exercise at will
Management explicitly abandoned the option this quarter rather than exercising it
Q2'26PendingBitcoin hashrate to trickle from 14 EH/s to ~5 EH/s by year-end 2026
Period has not ended, but the metric was not mentioned at all this quarter, actual not stated on the call
Q2'26MissedPanther Creek full permitting completion by 'mid-late summer'
Period has ended (call is in August); management confirmed the final DEP process is 'taking a few months longer than originally anticipated'
Q2'26PendingSign 3 leases (Panther Creek, Sharon, Moses Lake) by year-end 2026
Period has not ended, but management declined to reaffirm the specific numeric target when asked directly, pivoting instead to generic negotiation language; zero leases signed to date
Q1'26PendingRevenue commencing in 2027
Still targeting but requires leases first, which haven't materialized
Q1'26PendingPermits in 'coming months'
Slipped to 'mid-late summer' which is 3-4 months out
Q1'26MissedAccelerate Bitcoin exit in 2026
Hash rate flat at 14 EH, now talking about 'maximizing value' instead
Q1'26PendingSign 3 leases by year-end 2026
Still maintaining this target but no progress visible yet
Q1'26MissedProvide Quebec Sherbrooke update on Q1 call
Pushed to Q2 call despite saying they hoped to update today
Q1'26DeliveredComplete U.S. redomiciliation by April 1
Completed as promised, now trading as KEEL
Q4'25PendingConvert Quebec sites to HPC/AI
Confirmed regulatory approval but no concrete timeline
Q4'25PendingSecure leases by being patient for better economics
Still no signed leases, strategy unchanged but unproven
Q4'25DeliveredU.S. redomicile in 2026
Completing April 1, 2026, as promised
Q4'25PendingComplete Paso Pe sale and LATAM exit
Still not closed, dragging into 2026
Q4'25PendingQ3: Sites coming online in 2027
Pushed Panther Creek Phase 1 from Dec 2026 to H1 2027, slippage already
Q4'25MissedMaintain $8M monthly FCF from Bitcoin mining
Now 'marginally profitable,' massive deterioration in one quarter
Q4'25MissedWashington site conversion to HPC/AI with GPU-as-a-service focus
Completely reversed strategy, now pure colocation after customer feedback
Q3'25DeliveredContinue share buybacks
5M shares repurchased but well below the authorized 49.9M
Q3'25PendingExit LATAM with Paso Pe sale
Still not closed, no timeline provided
Q3'25PendingTransition to U.S. GAAP for Q4
Confirmed on track for Q4 reporting
Q3'25DeliveredGenerate $8M/month free cash flow from mining
Maintained despite lower BTC production through cost cuts
Q3'25MissedPhase 1 Panther Creek 50MW by end of 2026
Already delayed to H1 2027 for Vera Rubin redesign
Q3'25PendingBreak ground at Panther Creek in Q4 2025
Claimed to be on track but no evidence of actual groundbreaking yet
Q2'25PendingU.S. redomicile in 2026
Maintained timeline, opened NYC office as interim step
Q2'25PendingTransitioning to U.S. GAAP for full year 2025
Reconfirmed plan, implementation ongoing
Q2'25DeliveredAll U.S. sites validated for HPC conversion
WWT and ASG assessments confirmed all sites suitable
Q2'25Delivered$8M/month free cash flow from mining
Confirmed generating $8M/month despite Argentina shutdown
Q2'25PendingMaster site plan completion in Q2 2025
Still 'in process' with Macquarie review, may slip to early 2026
Q2'25PendingBreaking ground at Panther Creek in second half of 2025
Maintained Q4 2025 timeline, but no customers signed yet
Q1'25Pending<$100M CapEx for 2025
Reduced from prior guidance, tracking at $75M currently
Q1'25PendingHPC feasibility studies in Q2
For remaining North American sites beyond Pennsylvania
Q1'25PendingNo large miner purchases in 2025
Reiterated multiple times on call
Q1'25DeliveredStrategic sale of non-core assets
Yguazu sold to Hive for cash plus payments
Q1'25DeliveredComplete Stronghold acquisition by end Q1
Closed March 14 as promised
Q1'25PendingBreak ground on HPC in H2 2025
Reiterated but conditional on master plan completion
Q1'25Pending21 exahash target for 2025
At 19.5 EH currently, seems achievable with remaining 6% of miners
Q4'24PendingUpdate on HPC progress in 2025
They're now promising Q2 2025 for feasibility studies completion
Q4'24DeliveredStronghold acquisition closing
Closed as promised, debt paid off
Q4'24Exceeded19 watts/terahash efficiency by Q2 2025
Achieved 19 w/th three months early in Q1 2025
Q4'24DeliveredStrategic options for Yguazu to 'best monetize this site'
Sold the site to HIVE for cash, though this was selling not monetizing
Q4'24MissedHPC/AI pilot with 1-2 MW deployment
No mention of pilot progress; appears to have been quietly dropped
Q4'24Missed35 exahash by year-end 2025
Completely abandoned this guidance as 'premature to maintain'
Q4'24Missed21 exahash by year-end 2024
Only at 18.6 EH as of March 2025, pushed target to H1 2025
Q3'24PendingSharon initial 12MW by end of 2024
Still claims on track but no specific update on progress
Q3'24Missed35 EH/s by end of 2025
Formally withdrawn this quarter as 'premature'
Q3'24PendingYguazu 100MW online December 2024
Applied for 60-day delay to March 1, 2025, suggests execution issues
Q3'24Delivered21 w/TH efficiency by year-end 2024
Actually hit in September, 3 months early, now targeting 19 w/TH
Q3'24Missed21 EH/s by year-end 2024
Pushed to 'first half 2025' without specific timeline
Q3'24Missed12 EH/s by midyear 2024
Hit 11.9 EH in November, blamed on warranty issues and construction delays
Q2'24PendingYguazu 100 MW in Q4
Pushed to December, 'broken ground on seven warehouses'
Q2'24DeliveredCEO search in 'next several weeks'
Ben Gagnon appointed CEO, search concluded
Q2'24DeliveredStrategic alternatives review
Completed and terminated, choosing standalone path
Q2'24DeliveredPaso Pe 70 MW site online
Fully online and described as largest site by MW and hashrate
Q2'24Pending21 w/TH efficiency by year-end 2024
Currently at 28 w/TH, needs 25% more improvement in 5 months
Q2'24Pending21 EH/s by year-end 2024
Reiterated commitment but concerning equipment quality issues emerging
Q2'24Missed12 EH/s by Q2 2024
Hit 12.1 EH/s but admitted 'temporary delays' and missed mid-year target timing
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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