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Management credibility scorecard

ProPetro Holding (PUMP)

9 quarters tracked (Q2'24 to Q2'26) · latest call July 29, 2026
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74%
Kept of 31 resolved
23
Kept or exceeded
8
Missed
21
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · diluter

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q2'26July 29, 20269/123 medium flags10Call sheet →
Q1'26April 30, 20265/124 high, 4 medium flags12Call sheet →
Q4'25February 18, 20269/124 medium, 2 low flags40Call sheet →
Q3'25October 29, 20258/122 high, 3 medium, 1 low flags40Call sheet →
Q2'25July 30, 20259/123 high, 4 medium, 1 low flags31Call sheet →
Q1'25April 29, 20255/123 high, 3 medium, 1 low flags11Call sheet →
Q4'24February 19, 20254/123 high, 4 medium, 1 low flags31Call sheet →
Q3'24October 30, 20244/123 high, 4 medium, 1 low flags22Call sheet →
Q2'24July 31, 20245/122 high, 6 medium flags41Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q2'26PendingWe are confident in Pro Power's future growth and expect to secure additional contracts throughout 2026 as we extend and deepen relationships with both new and existing partners.
New contracts added 110 MW during the quarter. Management also reported some data-center discussions taking longer than expected. The full-year period is not complete.
Q2'26PendingAdditionally, we anticipate incurring capital expenditures of approximately $400 to $450 million for our pro-power business in 2026.
Reaffirmed as unchanged this quarter; fiscal year not yet complete.
Q2'26PendingWe currently anticipate full-year 2026 capital expenditures incurred to be between $540 million and $610 million...completions business is expected to account for approximately $140 million to $160 million...we expect to buyout all five fleets with buyouts anticipated to begin in late 2026 and continue through 2028.
Guidance revised down this quarter to $525M-$595M total and $125M-$145M completions, with the second FORCE buyout explicitly pushed from 2026 into early 2027. Full-year period has not ended; this is a disclosed downward revision, not a confirmed miss.
Q2'26DeliveredWe anticipate adding a few more units later this year...accordingly expect to run approximately 12 fleets in the second quarter, up from the approximately 11 in the first quarter.
Active fleet count confirmed at 12 for the quarter, with a 13th now activating.
Q1'26Pending60MW data center deployment to begin Q2 2026
Equipment on site being installed per management
Q1'26DeliveredDeploy approximately 11 fleets in Q1 2026
Met guidance but weather impact was severe
Q1'26MissedMaintain financial flexibility and strong balance sheet
Cash declined $79M in 2 months post-equity raise, seeking more financing
Q1'26MissedContinue to leverage industrialized model to drive PROPWR expansion
Completions business generated only $3M OCF, can't fund PROPWR growth
Q1'26PendingDeliver at least 750MW by year-end 2028
Actually increased to 2.6GW by 2031, but funding path unclear
Q1'26PendingPROPWR to begin contributing meaningful earnings by H2 2026
Softened to 'start making contributions' without quantification
Q4'25DeliveredQ4 sequential improvement in PROPWR segment
Contracted MW grew 60% sequentially
Q4'25DeliveredFull year 2025 capex $270-290M
Came in at $281M incurred, within range
Q4'25PendingPROPWR to make significant impact starting in 2026
Pushed to H2 2026 for 'meaningful earnings'
Q4'25Pending750MW delivered by year-end 2028
Reaffirmed target, now at 550MW ordered
Q4'25DeliveredMaintain 10-11 active fleets in Q4
Reported 11 active fleets as guided
Q4'25Exceeded220MW contracted by end of year
Delivered 240MW contracted, beat by 20MW
Q3'25PendingAnnounce multiple long-term power contracts
Only one 60MW data center deal announced so far
Q3'25Exceeded2025 completions CapEx of $100-140M
Reduced to $80-100M, beating discipline target
Q3'25DeliveredContinue generating free cash flow in completions
$25M FCF despite 30% fleet reduction
Q3'25DeliveredPROPWR inaugural contract deployment starting Q3
Confirmed assets deployed in field with 'excellent operational efficiency'
Q3'25DeliveredMaintain 10-11 fleets in Q3
Confirmed operating 10-11 fleets as guided
Q3'25PendingSecure long-term agreements for all 220MW by end of 2025
On track with 150MW+ contracted, but 70MW still in negotiation
Q2'25Pending220MW PROPWR delivery by mid-2026
On track with orders placed
Q2'25MissedContinue share buyback program
Extended program but bought ZERO shares in Q2 despite saying it's 'important'
Q2'25DeliveredFull year 2025 CapEx of $295-345M
Reduced to $270-310M, came in better
Q2'25PendingDeploy fifth FORCE fleet in 2025
Still expected but not yet deployed
Q2'25Exceeded75MW of PROPWR LOIs to be finalized soon
Delivered 80MW contract, more than the 75MW in LOI
Q2'25DeliveredOperate 13-14 fleets in Q2
Ran 13-14 fleets as guided
Q1'25PendingMaintain disciplined capital allocation
Cut CapEx guide by 9% but committed $230M to Pro Power without contracts
Q1'25DeliveredScale Pro Power leveraging cash and targeted financing
Added 80MW orders and secured $104M financing as promised
Q1'25MissedGenerate strong free cash flow
$22M in Q1 vs $30M quarterly average in 2024, down 27%
Q1'25PendingContinue share repurchase program
Seeking board approval for one-year extension, no buyback activity disclosed this quarter
Q1'25Pending150-200MW Pro Power capacity by early 2026
Increased to 220MW but timeline pushed to 'midyear 2026' not 'early'
Q1'25PendingDeploy fifth Force fleet in 2025 under long-term contract
Reiterated midyear timeline but no customer or contract announced yet
Q4'24PendingPhase out Tier II diesel-only assets over next few years
On track, took $189M impairment in Q3, now 75% next-gen fleet
Q4'24DeliveredContinue share repurchase program
Bought back shares but only 400k in Q4 vs 1.3M in Q3, momentum slowing
Q4'24DeliveredRun 14 active fleets in Q4
Maintained 14 fleets though with 'some white space' in December
Q4'24DeliveredReduce capital spending to support strong free cash flow generation
FY24 CapEx down 57% to $140M, FCF up 9x to $118M
Q4'24MissedDeploy fifth fleet in early 2025
Slipped to just '2025' without specific timing
Q4'24PendingDeploy fourth FORCE fleet by year-end 2024
Call was in February 2025 but they said 'expect' by year-end, not confirmed delivered
Q3'24PendingGenerate strong free cash flow
Stopped disclosing FCF number, working capital burned cash
Q3'24ExceededReduce CapEx to $175M-$200M
Further reduced to $150M-$175M
Q3'24DeliveredMaintain 14 active fleets in Q3
Kept fleets flat as promised
Q3'24MissedContinue share buybacks aggressively
Only 1.3M shares vs 2.5M in Q2, pace cut in half
Q3'24MissedFifth FORCE fleet in field in 2024
Now saying 'early 2025', clear miss on timeline
Q3'24PendingDeploy fourth FORCE fleet in 2024
Pushed from Q3 to 'by year-end', execution risk rising
Q2'24DeliveredBe opportunistic on M&A
Completed Aqua Prop acquisition for $21M
Q2'24DeliveredGenerate strong free cash flow
$48M in Q2 up 17% sequentially despite earnings collapse
Q2'24PendingMaintain strong balance sheet and liquidity
Cash up but total liquidity down 28% to $145M, concerning trend
Q2'24DeliveredContinue fleet transition to next-generation assets
Tier II hours down 25%, electric up 60%, clear evidence of transition
Q2'24Exceeded2024 CapEx of $200-250M
Reduced to $175-200M, delivering better than promised on capital discipline
Q2'24MissedDeploy fourth FORCE fleet by end of Q2 2024
Pushed to 'next few months', originally said end of June, now saying deployment coming
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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