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Call sheet · Q2'25

ProPetro Holding (PUMP)

Q2'25 earnings call · held July 30, 2025 · compared with the Q1'25 call · management-credibility review
9/12
Disclosure score
3 high, 4 medium, 1 low flags
Financial quality
Bottom line
The sleeper story is PROPWR securing 10-year 'data center-like' contracts at $300k EBITDA/MW while everyone focuses on the frac meltdown. Yes, the Permian collapsed from 90-100 to 70 fleets, but PUMP is deliberately walking away from work rather than destroying equipment at negative FCF pricing. The binding constraint isn't demand but their willingness to work at current diesel pricing. Sam's money quote: 'we're choosing not to play in that loose part of the market.' My view changes if PROPWR contract announcements slow or if contracted electric fleet pricing cracks.

The 30-second version

  • PROPWR is the real story: 10-year 'data center-like' contracts while frac implodes
  • The obvious 'Permian weakness' headline masks a deliberate fleet culling strategy
  • The binding constraint isn't demand, it's their willingness to work at current pricing

What changed this quarter

MetricQ1'25Q2'25Change
Revenue$359M (+12% QoQ)$326M (-9% QoQ)Decelerated 21 percentage points sequentially
Net Income$10M profit$7M lossSwung $17M negative
EPS$0.09-$0.07Missed by $0.16
Adjusted EBITDA$73M (20% margin)$50M (15% margin)Down 32% with 500 bps margin compression
Operating Cash Flow$55M$54MHeld flat despite revenue decline
Free Cash Flow (Completions)$22M$26MUp 18% despite activity collapse
Active Fleet Count14-15 fleets13-14 fleets (10-11 Q3 guide)Down 2 fleets with another 3 coming Q3
Contracted Horsepower %~50%Over 50%Slight increase in contract coverage
Electric Fleet Lease Expense$15M$14MSlight improvement
CapEx Incurred$39M$73MNearly doubled on PROPWR spending

Accountability tracked

7 new promises made5 narrative shifts flagged6 prior promises scored
Inside the full report
The complete write-up covers the full promise ledger with kept/missed calls, disclosure-quality scoring, the metrics-vanished check, verification items, and the questions to ask next quarter.
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Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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