Earnings Call Intelligence Subscribe
Home › Call Sheets › MU › Q2'26
Call sheet · Q2'26

Micron Technology (MU)

Q2'26 earnings call · held March 18, 2026 · compared with the Q1'26 call · management-credibility review
8/12
Disclosure score
3 medium, 5 low flags
Financial quality
Bottom line
The sleeper story everyone is missing: SCAs aren't just supply deals, they're structured margin protection that locks in profitability floors across cycles with 'specific commitments' spanning five years. While the Street celebrates 81% gross margins, the real story is Micron building a moat through binding customer agreements that convert memory from commodity to strategic asset. The constraint isn't demand (they're only fulfilling 50-67% of key customer needs), it's clean room physics with $10B+ construction spend increases showing panic-level urgency. Most revealing quote: 'These SCAs are meant to go across periods when the industry is very tight versus other parts of the industry environment as well' - that's downside protection language disguised as supply-demand speak. My view changes if they start disclosing SCA revenue mix or admit any customer is successfully multi-sourcing away from their 'strategic' agreements.

The 30-second version

  • The sleeper story: SCAs are locked-in margin protection disguised as supply agreements
  • 81% gross margin guide isn't the peak, it's the new baseline in a structurally tight market
  • CapEx surge to $35B+ in FY27 signals they're panicked about losing market position

What changed this quarter

MetricQ1'26Q2'26Change
Revenue$13.6B (+57% YoY)$23.9B (+196% YoY)+75% sequential, largest quarterly increase in company history
Gross Margin56.8% (+2,160 bps YoY)75% (+3,600 bps YoY)+1,820 bps sequential to company record
EPS$4.78 (+167% YoY)$12.20 (+682% YoY)+155% sequential growth
Free Cash Flow$3.9B (quarterly record)$6.9B+77% sequential, new record beats prior by $2.5B
DRAM Revenue$10.8B (+69% YoY)$18.8B (+207% YoY)+74% sequential with mid-60s% price increases
NAND Revenue$2.7B (+22% YoY)$5.0B (+169% YoY)+82% sequential with high-70s% price increases
Data Center NAND Revenue>$1.0B in Q1Doubled sequentially to substantial record+100% sequential, fourth consecutive year of share gains
Net Cash Position$250M net cash$6.5B net cashHighest net cash position in company history
Fiscal 2026 CapEx$20B (raised from $18B)Above $25B+25% increase, majority for cleanroom construction
Fiscal 2027 CapExNot disclosedMeaningful step up, +$10B construction spend YoYMost aggressive expansion in company history

Accountability tracked

8 new promises made4 narrative shifts flagged7 prior promises scored
Inside the full report
The complete write-up covers the full promise ledger with kept/missed calls, disclosure-quality scoring, the metrics-vanished check, verification items, and the questions to ask next quarter.
Read the full MU Q2'26 report Subscribe
This is a free preview. The full write-up and promise ledger are published to subscribers on Substack.
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

Follow what management promises next

Get free previews of our earnings-call research: the key changes, management scores, and questions worth investigating. Subscribe for full call sheets and deeper analysis.

Subscriptions are managed by Substack. If the form does not load, subscribe directly. Or follow the RSS feed.