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Call sheet · Q3'26

KeyCorp (KEY)

Q3'26 earnings call · held October 20, 2026 · compared with the Q2'26 call · management-credibility review
9/12
Disclosure score
2 medium, 1 low flags
Financial quality
Bottom line
KeyCorp delivered stronger investment banking fees and lower charge-offs. Its NIM outlook is now near the lower end of the previous range, while preferred capital actions help EPS but slightly dilute NIM. The useful follow-ups are funding costs, repricing, credit and expense growth. Match guidance periods: discussion of 2027 buyback flexibility is not a withdrawal of the existing 2026 target.

The 30-second version

  • Fees and credit improved
  • Preferred actions help EPS while slightly reducing NIM
  • Keep 2026 buyback guidance separate from 2027 flexibility

What changed this quarter

MetricQ2'26Q3'26Change
EPS$0.44, +26% YoY$0.51, +24% YoYEPS increased sequentially; YoY growth rates were approximately 26% and 24%. No consensus beat established.
Revenue+7% YoYrecord $2B+, +8% YoYRecord quarter, modest acceleration
NIM2.89%2.95%, +6bps seqImproving but Q4 exit guide trimmed
ROTCE15%+ confidence reiterated15.1% actual, +260bps YoYTarget achieved this quarter
Net charge-offs42bps32bpsDown 10 basis points sequentially
NPA ratio74bps, +$126M seq55bps, -$191M seq, lowest since late 2023Sharp reversal from last quarter's spike
C&I line utilization31%, -50bps seq33%, +200bps seq, highest in 3 yearsUtilization inflecting higher
Investment banking fees$169M, missed expectations$214M, +27% sequential, beat 20%+ guideExceeded prior guide
Avg deposit growthflat sequentially+$3.6B avg, client deposits +$2.8BInflection after seasonal trough
FY NCO guide40-45bpstightened to 37-39bpsCredit guide lowered (good)

Accountability tracked

9 new promises made1 narrative shift flagged8 prior promises scored
Inside the full report
The complete write-up covers the full promise ledger with kept/missed calls, disclosure-quality scoring, the metrics-vanished check, verification items, and the questions to ask next quarter.
Read the full KEY Q3'26 report Subscribe
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Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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