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Management credibility scorecard

Riot Platforms (RIOT)

9 quarters tracked (Q2'24 to Q2'26) · latest call August 10, 2026
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61%
Kept of 31 resolved
19
Kept or exceeded
12
Missed
22
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · structural change

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q2'26August 10, 20268/122 medium, 1 low flags10Call sheet →
Q1'26April 30, 20266/123 high, 3 medium, 1 low flags20Call sheet →
Q4'25March 2, 20266/122 high, 5 medium, 1 low flags31Call sheet →
Q3'25October 30, 20254/125 high, 3 medium flags12Call sheet →
Q2'25July 31, 20255/121 high, 5 medium, 2 low flags32Call sheet →
Q1'252025-05-012/122 high, 4 medium, 2 low flags12Call sheet →
Q4'24February 24, 20253/123 high, 4 medium, 1 low flags23Call sheet →
Q3'24October 30, 20247/121 high, 5 medium, 2 low flags21Call sheet →
Q2'24July 31, 20247/123 high, 4 medium, 1 low flags41Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q2'26Pending"we have a clear line of sight to 168 megawatts of completed core-and-shell in 2027"
The 2027 core-and-shell period had not ended. Current remarks on tenant-ready dates depend on design and negotiations; those are not necessarily the same milestone as core-and-shell completion.
Q2'26Pending"we anticipate exiting 2026 with an annualized operating lease revenue run rate of $37.8 million, scaling to a run rate of $55.6 million as we exit 2027"
Fiscal year-end target not yet reached; actual not stated on this call beyond the quarter's $4.9M lease revenue.
Q2'26Pending"Phase three... will deliver 10 megawatts in November 2026, while phase four... represents the remaining 15 megawatts for delivery in May 2027"
Period has not ended; current call reaffirms the identical November 2026 / May 2027 timeline, a consistency positive but not yet a delivered outcome.
Q2'26Delivered"the remaining 20 megawatts on track for delivery this May"
Confirmed delivered on schedule and on budget this quarter.
Q1'26PendingSecure project financing for AMD lease
In 'active discussions' but no commitments
Q1'26PendingCorsicana substation reaching 1GW in next 12 months
Not mentioned this quarter; timeline uncertain
Q1'26PendingAdditional lease announcements targeted for 2026
Softened to 'discussions underway' with 'unpredictable timeline'
Q1'26PendingRemaining 20MW AMD delivery in May 2026
Management reaffirms May timeline multiple times
Q1'26DeliveredCore-and-shell development at Corsicana to begin
Development underway per management, though no completion metrics provided
Q1'26DeliveredDeliver initial 5MW to AMD in January 2026
Achieved on schedule, generating $900K quarterly revenue
Q4'25MissedContinue to announce further development plans as we progress
No new development beyond initial 112MW at Corsicana announced
Q4'25PendingFirst building completed in Q1 2027
Reaffirmed timeline but 12+ months away
Q4'25PendingCorsicana substation expansion reaching 1GW over next 12 months
Still on track per management, but won't know until Q1 2027
Q4'25DeliveredInitiate Core & Shell development of first 2 buildings at Corsicana
Development underway as announced in Q3
Q4'25DeliveredComplete basis of design to enable technical discussions
Completed and now in commercial discussions as outlined
Q4'25DeliveredDeliver initial phase of power capacity to AMD on time and on budget
5MW Phase 1 delivered in January 2026 as promised, generating revenue immediately
Q3'25PendingStock-based comp to reduce dramatically
Still at $32.9M in Q3; promises reduction to $8M in Q3 2026
Q3'25PendingFocus on high-quality credit tenants
No tenants signed yet, but rhetoric has softened to 'wide variety of the market'
Q3'25MissedMaintain 4% of global hash rate
Hash rate grew 3% vs network 8%; losing share despite claims of maintaining position
Q3'25MissedNot looking to build out a site on spec
Complete reversal; now building $214M of spec Core & Shell without tenants
Q3'25Pending400MW substation expansion energized in Q1 2026
Transformer on site and being installed; appears on track
Q3'25DeliveredComplete basis of design by end of Q3 2025
Actually completed as promised; one of the few concrete deliverables achieved
Q2'25DeliveredRun rate SG&A of $30-33M per quarter
Hit $29.5M excluding one-time items
Q2'25MissedMaintaining 4% share of global Bitcoin network
Hash rate growing slower than network, losing share
Q2'25MissedContinue to share updates on completion of key milestones
No LOI, no tenant names, no real milestone progress disclosed
Q2'25DeliveredClose on additional 355 acres of land
Actually acquired 593 acres total, exceeded promise
Q2'25PendingComplete basis of design for first phase of Corsicana
Pushed to Q3 end, was implied to happen in Q2
Q2'25DeliveredAnnouncing best-in-class team to drive data center execution
Hired Jonathan Gibbs as CDO, though just one person not full team yet
Q1'25MissedAnnounce best-in-class datacenter team
Said 'soon' last quarter, now saying 'soon' again this quarter.
Q1'25DeliveredMaintain Bitcoin yield focus
7% yield achieved YTD, though they started selling production in April.
Q1'25PendingEngineering business path to $100M revenue in 2025
Q1 run rate of $56M annually, would need 78% growth in remaining quarters. They're now saying $84M GAAP.
Q1'25PendingComplete basis of design for first phase data center
Pushed to future quarters with no timeline given.
Q1'25MissedMaximize value of 1GW Corsicana opportunity
No LOI, no deal structure, just more land purchases and consultant fees.
Q1'25PendingAchieve industry-leading operational uptime
Hit 90% uptime but no comparison to industry benchmarks provided. Partial credit.
Q4'24DeliveredContinue evaluating Bitfarms position
No mention this quarter, appears to have quietly exited or written off
Q4'24PendingFocus on operational excellence
Some improvement shown but still below target utilization rates
Q4'24PendingKentucky initial phase online in 2025
Already walked back to 2026, suggesting this won't happen
Q4'24DeliveredComplete Corsicana Phase 1 by year-end
400MW substation energized with 14 EH deployed
Q4'24Missed56 exahash target for 2025
Immediately cut to 38.4 EH, a 31% reduction before the year even started
Q4'24Missed35 exahash by year-end 2024
Ended at 31.5 EH, missed by 10% despite lowering from 36 EH last quarter
Q4'24MissedAchieve greater than 95% utilization excluding curtailment
Still at ~85% after claiming 'significant improvements' for two quarters
Q3'24PendingStrong second half for engineering business
Q3 showed recovery to $12.6M revenue, Q4 TBD
Q3'24MissedKentucky expansion to 4.8 EH/s by end of 2024
Pushed out 1.8 EH/s of Kentucky growth into 2025
Q3'24DeliveredImprove operational efficiency at Rockdale
October showing 80%+ utilization vs 60-70% previously
Q3'24PendingCorsicana first 400MW phase complete by year end
On track per management, final systems being commissioned
Q3'24Pending36 EH/s by end of 2024
Revised down to 35 EH/s, needs 7 EH/s in Q4
Q3'24Delivered28 EH/s deployed by end of Q3 2024
Hit the 28 EH/s target exactly as promised
Q2'24DeliveredNo new hosting contracts
Confirmed no new hosting customers
Q2'24DeliveredMaintain strong balance sheet
$639M liquidity plus 9,334 BTC
Q2'24MissedReplace problematic Rockdale miners in Q2
Now saying deployment starts 'end of May' into June/July
Q2'24PendingESS Metron supply chain resolution by end of Q3
Pushed to 'second half' suggesting slippage
Q2'24DeliveredCorsicana energization in Q2
Energized in April as promised
Q2'24Exceeded21 EH/s by end of Q2 2024
Delivered 22 EH/s, beat by 1 EH/s
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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