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Management credibility scorecard

Medtronic (MDT)

7 quarters tracked (Q2'25 to Q1'27) · latest call September 1, 2026
Get the next MDT call sheet
88%
Kept of 25 resolved
22
Kept or exceeded
3
Missed
12
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · flat

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q1'27September 1, 20263/121 high, 2 medium, 1 low flags00Call sheet →
Q4'26June 3, 202612/121 medium, 6 low flags40Call sheet →
Q3'262026-02-179/124 medium, 2 low flags40Call sheet →
Q1'26August 19, 20258/123 medium, 3 low flags30Call sheet →
Q4'252025-05-219/123 medium, 5 low flags50Call sheet →
Q3'25February 18, 20259/123 medium, 3 low flags32Call sheet →
Q2'252024-11-199/124 medium, 2 low flags31Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q4'26PendingDiabetes separation complete by end of calendar year '26
IPO completed, separation still on track for calendar year-end target
Q4'26DeliveredHugo to have impact towards the end of FY26
Management confirmed Hugo contributed to Med Surg portfolio in Q4, first U.S. cases completed
Q4'26PendingCAS mix dynamics to improve as we scale
CFO said inflection in second half of FY27, year-over-year improvement starting FY27 - tracking for delivery
Q4'26DeliveredGrowth acceleration excluding the extra week
Midpoint 7% vs 5.8% FY26 actual represents meaningful acceleration even excluding 53rd week
Q4'26DeliveredWe expect high single-digit EPS growth in fiscal year '27
Guided to $5.90-$6.00 range representing 6.7%-8.4% growth, within high single-digit commitment
Q4'26DeliveredWe expect that pipeline to begin impacting growth in the fourth quarter (Neuroscience)
Neuroscience showed improvement with Stealth AXiS launch and management confirmed acceleration ahead
Q3'26PendingHigh single-digit EPS growth in fiscal 2027 (Q2)
Reiterated commitment but with new headwinds from tariffs and diabetes separation timing
Q3'26ExceededDiabetes business acceleration in US growth in back half (Q2)
15% reported growth vs high single digits expected, driven by new sensor demand
Q3'26PendingStealth AXiS to contribute to Neurosurgery and CST in Q4 (Q2)
FDA clearance achieved but Q4 contribution still to be demonstrated
Q3'26ExceededHugo FDA approval in back half of fiscal year (Q2)
Received FDA clearance for urology and already completed first US cases
Q3'26DeliveredRevenue acceleration to continue in back half and beyond (Q2)
Q3 organic growth of 6% vs 5.5% in Q2, with Q4 expected to be even stronger
Q3'26DeliveredEven higher CAS growth in Q3 (from Q2 call)
CAS grew 80% vs 71% in Q2, meeting the acceleration promise
Q1'26PendingHugo U.S. launch in back half of fiscal year
Confirmed FDA filing complete, expecting back-half FY26 U.S. launch
Q1'26DeliveredMid-single-digit or higher organic revenue growth continuation
4.8% organic growth delivered, within 4.5-5% guidance range
Q1'26DeliveredOperating profit to grow materially faster than revenue in FY26
Confirmed 7% operating profit growth vs 5% revenue growth excluding tariffs
Q1'26PendingSymplicity revenue to meaningfully ramp when covered by CMS
October 8 decision date confirmed, preparation activities underway
Q1'26PendingReturn to high single-digit EPS growth in fiscal 2027
Reaffirmed guidance for FY27 high single-digit EPS growth post-diabetes separation
Q1'26ExceededCAS growth rate to accelerate again in Q1
Delivered nearly 50% vs ~30% in Q4, and promising even faster Q2 growth
Q4'25ExceededMid-single digit revenue growth for 10th consecutive quarter
Delivered 5.4% organic growth vs mid-single digit target
Q4'25PendingSurgical distributor issues to resolve entering FY26
Still mentioned as ongoing dynamic, resolution pushed to FY26
Q4'25DeliveredHigh single-digit EPS growth in back half of fiscal year
Q4 delivered 11% growth, 9% for back half combined
Q4'25DeliveredHugo urology submission by end of March
Filed during Q4 as committed
Q4'25DeliveredCV growth to meaningfully accelerate in Q4
Accelerated to 8% from mid-single digits
Q4'25ExceededCAS to deliver strong double-digit growth in Q4
Delivered nearly 30% vs mid-20s expected
Q3'25DeliveredMid-single-digit organic revenue growth consistently
9 quarters in a row of mid-single-digit growth maintained
Q3'25ExceededContinue engaging with CMS on renal denervation
CMS opened NCA, major breakthrough beyond expectations
Q3'25DeliveredHugo FDA filing in Q1 calendar 2025
Tightened to end of March 2025, on track
Q3'25PendingHigh single-digit EPS growth in back half of year
Q3 delivered 6.9% growth, need similar in Q4 to deliver promise
Q3'25MissedSurgical would return to normalized growth starting Q3
New distributor excuse emerged, now promises recovery in Q1 FY26
Q3'25MissedCAS would accelerate in Q2 after supplier issues
Actually hit by another supplier interruption in Q2, but claims resolved for Q3
Q2'25PendingOperating margin expansion for full year
Q3 margins expected up 30 bps, on track for full year expansion
Q2'25DeliveredDiabetes double-digit growth sustainability
11% growth maintained despite tougher comparisons
Q2'25ExceededHugo urology data capture completion
Completed targeted enrollment and ready for FDA filing Q1 2025
Q2'25PendingHigh single-digit EPS growth exiting fiscal year
Still tracking to this with Q3/Q4 acceleration planned
Q2'25DeliveredContinue mid-single digit organic revenue growth
5% growth maintained, slightly above midpoint of guidance
Q2'25PendingSurgical return to normalized growth in back half
Now saying 'starting next quarter' instead of back half, suggesting ongoing issues
Q2'25MissedStrong acceleration in CAS Q2 growth
Supplier interruption prevented expected acceleration, growth actually stalled
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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