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Management credibility scorecard

Duke Energy (DUK)

3 quarters tracked (Q4'25 to Q2'26) · latest call August 4, 2026
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100%
Kept of 12 resolved
12
Kept or exceeded
0
Missed
6
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · flat

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q2'26August 4, 20268/124 medium, 3 low flags20Call sheet →
Q1'26May 5, 202611/121 medium, 5 low flags50Call sheet →
Q4'25February 10, 202611/121 medium, 5 low flags50Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q2'26PendingWill not make any moves on new nuclear until first-of-a-kind, supply chain, and financial risk questions are answered
Stance unchanged; management explicitly states no decision and no timeline this quarter.
Q2'26PendingAnderson County combined cycle plant construction expected to begin in 2027
Not referenced on this call; actual not stated.
Q2'26PendingExpect to convert additional late-stage prospects to ESAs over the next 12 months
Only 0.2GW converted this quarter versus 2.7GW in Q1; timeline language has shifted to 'by first half of 2027' - revision noted, not yet a miss since window hasn't closed.
Q2'26DeliveredTurbines for the first Person County combined cycle project expected to be delivered in the second half of this year
First turbine delivered to Person County site in July, within the promised window.
Q2'26DeliveredRate cases for DEC and DEP proceeding on schedule, intervenor testimony due end of May
DEC reached a comprehensive settlement (9.8% ROE, 53% equity); DEP remains unresolved with a hearing scheduled for August 11 - partial delivery on DEC, DEP still pending.
Q1'26PendingMaintain flat O&M despite inflationary pressures
Higher Q1 from storms but maintaining full-year flat guidance
Q1'26DeliveredSeek Robinson nuclear license extension
NRC approved subsequent license renewal in April
Q1'26DeliveredBegin construction on 5 GW of gas generation
Construction underway with EPC contracts signed
Q1'26ExceededDeliver 2025 EPS in guidance range of $6.05-$6.35
Delivered $6.31, above midpoint
Q1'26ExceededConvert additional prospects to ESAs over course of 2026
Signed 2.7 GW in Q1 alone, accelerating pace dramatically
Q1'26ExceededClose Tennessee sale by end of Q1 and first Florida tranche in early 2026
Both closed in March 2026, ahead of schedule with full $5.3B proceeds
Q4'25DeliveredSouth Carolina rate case orders by year-end
Reached settlements approved by commission in December 2025
Q4'25ExceededContinue converting economic development pipeline into ESAs
Added 1.5 gigawatts to reach 4.5 gigawatts total, 50% increase
Q4'25PendingTennessee and Florida transaction closes in early 2026
Tennessee sale on track for Q1 close, DEF first tranche early 2026
Q4'25Delivered$95B-$105B capital plan range for detailed disclosure
Committed to $103B specific plan, high end of range
Q4'25Pending5%-7% EPS growth through 2029 with top half beginning in 2028
Maintained and extended through 2030, confidence reiterated
Q4'25DeliveredNarrowed guidance range to $6.25-$6.35 for 2025
Delivered $6.31, above midpoint as promised
Q4'25ExceededTarget 14% or higher FFO to debt by year-end 2025
Achieved 14.8%, beat target by 80bps through timely storm cost recovery
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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