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Management credibility scorecard

Atlassian (TEAM)

5 quarters tracked (Q4'25 to Q4'26) · latest call August 6, 2026
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90%
Kept of 20 resolved
18
Kept or exceeded
2
Missed
7
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · flat

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q4'26August 6, 20268/124 medium, 1 low flags30Call sheet →
Q3'26April 30, 20266/121 high, 4 medium, 1 low flags41Call sheet →
Q2'26February 5, 20269/122 medium, 4 low flags40Call sheet →
Q1'26October 30, 20259/123 medium, 3 low flags40Call sheet →
Q4'252025-08-077/121 high, 3 medium, 2 low flags31Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q4'26DeliveredIt's too early to discuss any FY27 guide at this point... we'll provide that guidance out in August, our Q4 earnings
FY27 guidance (18% subs ARR growth, 4.5% GAAP operating margin) was indeed provided on this Q4 call as promised.
Q4'26DeliveredDC migration to cloud expected to contribute mid-to-high single digits to cloud growth
Confirmed in Q4 as 'in line with expectations' and 'contributing approximately mid to high single digits to the cloud growth revenue'.
Q4'26DeliveredWe'll look to enhance our disclosures and share historical subscription ARR, which will help normalize some of those timing effects
Management confirmed this is 'the first time we'll be issuing ARR guidance for the full fiscal year', disclosed 23% FY26 subs ARR growth, and gave an 18% FY27 guide.
Q3'26DeliveredStrong NRR trend continuing upward
Maintained north of 120% and claimed another uptick, but less specific than Q2
Q3'26ExceededRovo driving customer expansion at higher rates
Now quantified as 2x ARR growth rate for Rovo customers vs non-Rovo
Q3'26DeliveredTeamwork Collection momentum continuing with 1M+ seats
Claimed continued momentum but stopped reporting specific metrics
Q3'26PendingLong-term confidence in 20%+ revenue CAGR through FY2027
Reaffirmed commitment but DC pull-forward creates FY27 headwind
Q3'26DeliveredCloud migrations contributing mid to high single digits to growth
Maintained the same contribution range as guided
Q3'26MissedRPO continuing to accelerate for third quarter in a row (Q2: 44% growth)
RPO decelerated to 37% growth, though management claims normalized rate would be 40%+ adjusting for revenue recognition
Q2'26Pending25% non-GAAP operating margin by FY2027
Reiterated alongside revenue guidance
Q2'26Pending20% revenue CAGR through FY2027
Reiterated with 'firm confidence' language, no change to commitment
Q2'26DeliveredTeamwork Collection driving double-digit seat expansion
Reached 1M seats milestone, confirmed double-digit expansion rates
Q2'26ExceededRPO growth acceleration
44% growth vs 42% prior quarter, third consecutive acceleration
Q2'26DeliveredContinue improving gross margins
Margins improved again while scaling AI to 5M MAU
Q2'26DeliveredCloud migrations to drive mid-high single digit contribution to revenue growth
Maintained same guidance range and delivered on expectations
Q1'26PendingEnterprise go-to-market evolution
Brian Duffy impact noted but still early, record $1M+ deals suggest progress
Q1'26ExceededTeamwork Collection strong momentum
Explicitly said exceeding expectations with enterprise wins
Q1'26DeliveredContinued AI capability rollout
Shipped Rovo Dev GA, MCP servers beta, multiple AI integrations
Q1'26Pending20% compounded annual growth FY24-FY27
Reiterated commitment but FY26 guide implies need for acceleration in FY27
Q1'26DeliveredConservative and risk-adjusted approach to guidance
Maintained same cautious approach, though organic growth guide came down
Q1'26ExceededMid-single digit migration contribution to cloud growth
Delivered mid-to-high single digit, raising cloud guidance by 150bp
Q4'25PendingMid-to-high single digit migration contribution over 2-3 years
Now guided to mid-single digit for FY26, lower end of range
Q4'25DeliveredData center growth driven by pricing, offset by migrations
Q4 performed as expected, but Q1 guide shows sharp step down
Q4'25DeliveredPremium enterprise editions growth of 40% YoY
Continued at ~40% growth rate
Q4'25Pending20% compounded annual growth from FY '24 through FY '27
Still committed but FY25 at exactly 20%, no buffer built
Q4'25ExceededContinue to see Rovo usage grow strongly week-on-week
Went from 1.5M to 2.3M MAU, 5x token usage growth
Q4'25MissedBetter migration contribution to cloud revenue growth in FY '26
Actually guided to sequentially lower contribution (mid-single vs mid-to-high single digit)
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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