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Management credibility scorecard

Simon Property Group (SPG)

4 quarters tracked (Q3'25 to Q2'26) · latest call August 10, 2026
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100%
Kept of 13 resolved
13
Kept or exceeded
0
Missed
7
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · flat

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q2'26August 10, 20267/122 high, 4 medium, 2 low flags00Call sheet →
Q1'26May 11, 20268/123 medium, 3 low flags30Call sheet →
Q4'25February 2, 202610/123 medium, 5 low flags40Call sheet →
Q3'25November 3, 202510/123 medium, 5 low flags60Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q2'26Pendingthe original $0.25 to $0.30 headwind... it probably is gravitating closer to the $0.25
Full-year 2026 interest expense impact has not concluded; current commentary (10 cents realized, 20 cents remaining) implies a total nearer the high end of $0.30, a less favorable trajectory than described last quarter.
Q2'26Pendingwe are increasing our full year 2026 real estate FFO guidance to a range of $13.10 to $13.25 per share
Full-year period has not concluded; guidance was raised again this quarter to $13.20-$13.30, a revision rather than a resolution.
Q1'26DeliveredContinue disciplined capital allocation
Maintained 5.0x leverage despite $2B of acquisitions, resumed share buybacks
Q1'26PendingDeploy our leasing and property management expertise at TRG assets
Just starting major renovation investments at Green Hills, International Plaza, Cherry Creek
Q1'26DeliveredComplete TRG integration
Corporate integration completed by end of April as promised
Q1'26PendingReal estate FFO of $13-13.25 per share for 2026
Raised guidance to $13.10-13.25 after Q1 beat
Q1'26PendingHigher net interest expense of 25-30¢ per share vs 2025
Q1 showed $0.05 drag, tracking toward the lower end of guidance range
Q1'26ExceededExpect domestic property NOI growth of at least 3% (Q4 2025 guidance)
Delivered 6.7% in Q1, though 120 bps was from TRG acquisition
Q4'25DeliveredMajor Nashville development announcement
Q3 promised unveiling 'later this week' - Q4 confirmed Sagefield project launch
Q4'25DeliveredSimon Plus loyalty program rollout
Launched in November as promised, though impact still 'early days'
Q4'25ExceededRobust leasing activity to continue
Promised strong demand - delivered 1,300 leases in Q4, pipeline up 15%
Q4'25PendingTRG portfolio enhancement through Simon expertise
Just took operational control - too early to measure but committed to specific yield improvement
Q4'25DeliveredStrong comp NOI growth continuation
Q3 promised continued momentum - delivered 4.8% domestic growth in Q4
Q4'25PendingTRG transaction accretive in 2026 with full benefit in 2027
On track - management reiterated 50+ bps yield improvement through integration
Q3'25DeliveredQ2: Traffic and sales 'pretty good back-to-school season'
Confirmed strong back-to-school, sequential improvement in Q3
Q3'25DeliveredQ2: Working on 'other interesting things' for acquisitions
TRG consolidation completed
Q3'25DeliveredQ2: 'A couple more things will get announced this year'
TRG completion and Nashville project announcement
Q3'25DeliveredQ2: Full year domestic NOI growth 'beat' the 3% target
4.2% YTD domestic NOI vs 3% target
Q3'25DeliveredQ2: Cautiously optimistic for balance of year
Raised guidance and delivered accelerating NOI growth
Q3'25ExceededQ2: Development pipeline $1B net cost at 9% yield
Delivered $1.25B pipeline at same 9% yield - expanded by $250M
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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