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Management credibility scorecard

SanDisk (SNDK)

3 quarters tracked (Q2'26 to Q4'26) · latest call August 5, 2026
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82%
Kept of 11 resolved
9
Kept or exceeded
2
Missed
3
Still pending

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q4'26August 5, 20265/121 high, 4 medium, 1 low flags00Call sheet →
Q3'26April 30, 202611/121 high, 2 medium, 4 low flags61Call sheet →
Q2'26January 29, 20265/121 high, 5 medium, 1 low flags31Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q3'26DeliveredBuild strategic relationships with diversified customer mix
NBM agreements across multiple customers and markets
Q3'26DeliveredContinue to be prudent with capital spending
CapEx at just 4% of revenue, down from 8.4%
Q3'26DeliveredExtension of Kioxia JV
Extended through 2034, though had to pay $1.165B for it
Q3'26MissedMid to high teens bit growth through BiCS 8 transition
Bits down high-teens sequentially, building inventory instead
Q3'26DeliveredEvolve from quarterly negotiations to multiyear agreements
Five agreements signed with $42B+ in commitments
Q3'26DeliveredContinue qualifications at additional hyperscalers over coming quarters
Completed qualification at second hyperscaler as promised
Q3'26PendingStargate to begin shipping within next several quarters
Now saying Q4, technically within promise but timeline seems pushed
Q3'26ExceededData center revenue to grow meaningfully in near and long term
Delivered 233% sequential growth, far exceeding 'meaningful' promise
Q2'26DeliveredMid to high teens bit growth
22% YoY growth, though sequential slowing
Q2'26PendingHBF memory in late 2026
Language softened to 'continue to work on it'
Q2'26ExceededNet cash position in 6 months
Achieved in Q1, one quarter early
Q2'26MissedStargate shipping in H1 calendar 2026
Pushed to 'next several quarters' which could mean Q4
Q2'26PendingBiCS8 to reach majority of production exiting FY26
No longer disclosing specific percentage, concerning
Q2'26DeliveredSequential data center growth throughout FY26
64% sequential growth in Q2 exceeded expectations
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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