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Management credibility scorecard

PepsiCo (PEP)

5 quarters tracked (Q3'25 to Q3'26) · latest call October 8, 2026
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78%
Kept of 18 resolved
14
Kept or exceeded
4
Missed
10
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · flat

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q3'26October 8, 20267/121 high, 4 medium, 1 low flags10Call sheet →
Q2'26July 9, 20264/122 high, 4 medium, 1 low flags04Call sheet →
Q1'26April 16, 20268/121 high, 3 medium, 2 low flags40Call sheet →
Q4'25February 3, 20268/122 medium, 3 low flags50Call sheet →
Q3'25October 9, 20257/121 medium, 5 low flags40Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q3'26DeliveredNA advertising and marketing expense projected to increase in the second half versus prior year
Confirmed realized per.
Q3'26PendingWill have an update on One North America integration 'with more detail later in the year, early next year'
No quantified update was delivered on this call; management instead pushed to a vaguer future meeting per, actual update not stated on the call.
Q3'26PendingLine of sight to the low end of the long-term 4%-6% organic growth range in the second half of 2026
H2 2026 is not complete (only Q3 reported). Q3 organic growth came in at 3.1% per, below the cited 4% floor, and the target language itself has since narrowed to a single 4% figure.
Q3'26PendingReaffirmed full-year guidance, expected 'towards the low end of the EPS range'
Full-year 2026 period has not ended; however, Q4 guidance was explicitly cut on margin this quarter per, a revision rather than a confirmed full-year miss given the period isn't complete.
Q2'26PendingUpper end of 2-4% organic growth in back half
Quietly walked back to 'low end of 4-6%' long-term range, effectively a guidance cut
Q2'26MissedSequential improvement in PFNA throughout 2026
Q2 was worse than Q1 on volume, directly contradicting the promised trajectory
Q2'26PendingGaining share in value terms for PFNA
Claimed last 3 weeks showed value share gains but no quarterly confirmation
Q2'26MissedAcceleration of U.S. business in both foods and beverages
PFNA volumes went flat from +2%, PBNA volumes turned negative
Q2'26MissedPositive volume growth in PBNA excluding case pack water in coming quarters
Volumes went negative in Q2 despite lapping the water transition
Q2'26MissedPFNA shelf resets and innovation execution to be 'almost completed' by end of Q2
Ramon admits they're only 50% through planogram resets, innovation at 40-50% ACV, clearly behind schedule
Q1'26PendingInnovation space gains and launches through Q2
40-50% ACV currently, targeting completion by end Q2
Q1'26DeliveredAdvertising spend to increase in 2026
Steve confirms reversal from 2025 cuts as planned
Q1'26DeliveredProductivity to fund commercial investments
PFNA costs down in Q1 despite increased investment
Q1'26DeliveredInternational mid-single digit growth continuation
Ramon confirms continuing acceleration, no slowdown from Iran conflict
Q1'26DeliveredPBNA volume to turn positive ex-case water
Achieved flat volume excluding water transition, expects positive growth ahead
Q1'26MixedPFNA to grow volume, net revenue, and operating margin in 2026
Volume delivered (+2%), revenue minimal (+1%), margin commitment walked back to 'total company flexibility'
Q4'25DeliveredRightsizing Frito-Lay fixed costs (Q3)
Productivity back to 'couple years ago' levels, continuing optimization
Q4'25DeliveredInternational back to mid-single digits (Q3)
Reaffirmed mid-single digit growth similar to last 19 quarters
Q4'25DeliveredPBNA continue acceleration (Q3)
Maintained acceleration expectation and cited specific drivers
Q4'25PendingInnovation rolling out will give volume growth (Q3)
Major launches now scheduled: Lay's/Tostitos early 2026, Gatorade/Quaker later
Q4'25DeliveredService levels becoming much better, driving growth (Q3)
Now at 97-98% fill rates and citing this as growth driver
Q4'25ExceededExpect to get back to flat organic sales performance in Q4 (Q3 guidance)
Actually guided to volume and net revenue growth for PFNA in Q1-exceeded flat expectation
Q3'25PendingQ2: Lay's and Tostitos relaunch
Confirmed for Q4/Q1 timeline, removing artificials as key component
Q3'25DeliveredQ2: Productivity acceleration in second half
70% more productivity H2 vs H1, specific plant closures executed
Q3'25PendingQ2: Protein launches in Q4 and Q1
Still committed but language getting vaguer on timing and specifics
Q3'25DeliveredQ2: Service levels improvement post systems transition
Now at 97-98% both businesses, systems issues behind them
Q3'25DeliveredQ2: Away from home continued focus and investment
High single digit growth in PBNA, called out as margin accretive
Q3'25DeliveredQ2: Sequential improvement in North America top line
PBNA volume positive, PFNA showing growth in last four weeks of quarter
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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