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Management credibility scorecard

Modine Manufacturing (MOD)

9 quarters tracked (Q1'25 to Q1'27) · latest call July 30, 2026
Get the next MOD call sheet
71%
Kept of 31 resolved
22
Kept or exceeded
9
Missed
25
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · flat

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q1'27July 30, 20263/124 high, 3 medium flags11Call sheet →
Q4'26May 27, 20266/123 high, 2 medium, 2 low flags31Call sheet →
Q3'26February 5, 20268/122 high, 4 medium, 2 low flags50Call sheet →
Q2'26October 29, 20257/122 high, 5 medium, 1 low flags30Call sheet →
Q1'26July 31, 20255/123 high, 4 medium, 1 low flags03Call sheet →
Q4'25May 21, 20257/121 high, 4 medium, 2 low flags21Call sheet →
Q3'25February 5, 20255/121 high, 5 medium, 2 low flags32Call sheet →
Q2'25October 30, 20248/125 medium, 3 low flags30Call sheet →
Q1'25July 31, 20247/121 high, 5 medium, 2 low flags21Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q1'27PendingData center segment margins above 20% in second half
Huge gap to close from current 14.8%
Q1'27PendingPT spinoff to close before calendar year end
Still maintaining timeline but lots of regulatory hurdles remain
Q1'27PendingSupply chain challenges would be temporary
Now saying will impact Q2 as well, extending timeline
Q1'27MissedMargins would improve sequentially through the year
Q1 margins deteriorated massively from Q4, opposite of promise
Q1'27DeliveredQ1 revenue would be up significantly YoY but down sequentially
Technically delivered but the sequential decline was worse than implied
Q4'26PendingClose Gentherm transaction by end of calendar year
Still targeting calendar Q4 close pending approvals
Q4'26ExceededFree cash flow to rebound in Q4
Generated $153M vs negative $17M in Q3, though $165M was from LTA payment
Q4'26PendingPerformance Technologies margin to rebound in Q1
Guided for Q1 FY27 to be 14-15%, up from current 13.8%
Q4'26Delivered$1 billion in data center sales for fiscal 2026
$1.1 billion achieved, 10% above target
Q4'26DeliveredSignificant incremental volumes in Q4
$400M+ in DC revenue, up from $295M in Q3
Q4'26MissedClimate Solutions Q4 margin in 20-21% range
They stopped disclosing the specific margin, only said it was 'down versus prior year'
Q3'26DeliveredPT segment to deliver margin improvement despite market
Improved to 14.8% from 14.7% sequentially, up 400 bps YoY
Q3'26ExceededMaintain leverage below 2.0x
At 1.2x, well below target despite heavy investment
Q3'26PendingFirst 2 Jefferson City lines in Q4
On schedule per management but not yet operational
Q3'26DeliveredLaunch initial production in Franklin, Wisconsin in Q3
Confirmed launched but volumes not disclosed
Q3'26PendingFree cash flow positive in second half
Q3 still negative $17M, all riding on Q4
Q3'26Delivered$1 billion data center revenue in fiscal 2026
On track with $295M in Q3, implies $400M+ Q4 gets them there
Q3'26DeliveredCS margins to sequentially improve in Q3
Delivered 180 bps sequential improvement to 17.9%
Q2'26PendingDrive value through 80/20 on acquisitions
Too early, but HVAC margins deteriorating is concerning
Q2'26DeliveredMaintain PT margins despite volume headwinds
14.7% margin up 90bps despite 4% revenue decline
Q2'26DeliveredChennai India facility to support APAC growth
Now producing, though no revenue numbers provided
Q2'26ExceededData center growth of 45% for full year
Raised to 60%+ growth, but at massive margin cost
Q2'26PendingFranklin to launch initial production in Q3
Confirmed still on track for this quarter
Q2'26PendingGrenada full production by end of fiscal year
Currently on 2 of 5 lines, needs 3 more in next 2 quarters
Q2'26PendingRestart year-over-year margin improvements in H2
Pushed to Q4 only, Q3 margins will stay depressed
Q1'26MissedMaintain or improve CS margins while investing for growth
Margins compressed 140 bps already
Q1'26PendingContinue share buybacks with $100M authorization
No mention of buybacks despite authorization, likely suspended due to cash needs
Q1'26PendingIndia expansion on track to launch production in Q2
Not mentioned in Q1 call, concerning silence
Q1'26MissedPT margins to improve despite flat/down volumes
Margins declined 190 bps to 13.1% in Q1
Q1'26PendingData center sales to grow in excess of 30%
Raised to 45% but Q1 only grew 15%, requiring massive H2 acceleration
Q1'26MissedGenerate higher level of free cash flow in fiscal '26
FCF margin dropping from 7.4% to 3%, massive miss already visible in Q1
Q4'25MissedStrategic exit from automotive business
No transaction executed despite repeated commitments since Investor Day
Q4'25PendingComplete sale of German PT headquarters
Transaction expected to close later in 2025 for $12M
Q4'25PendingCDU to generate revenue in middle of fiscal 2026
Pushed from vague Q3 timeline to specific H1 FY26 target
Q4'25DeliveredGenerate free cash flow in line or above prior year
$129M FCF vs $117M prior year
Q4'25PendingIndia facility to launch production in Q2
Reiterated timeline but still future commitment
Q4'25ExceededData center sales to grow 110-120% in fiscal 2025
Actual growth was 119%, hitting high end of range
Q3'25DeliveredMaintain leverage below 1.0x
At 0.8x, better than expected
Q3'25PendingFree cash flow in line or above prior year
YTD at $102M vs prior year ~$150M, needs strong Q4
Q3'25ExceededData center sales to grow 100-110%
Raised again to 110-120% growth
Q3'25DeliveredUK expansion completed ahead of schedule
First units off production line last week as stated
Q3'25PendingSequential ramp in Q4 for Performance Tech
Still guiding Q4 improvement but hedging with market weakness language
Q3'25MissedFirst order from third hyperscaler in Q3
No mention of third hyperscaler order, just 'discussions' now
Q3'25MissedFirst CDU shipments in Q4 fiscal 2025
Pushed to 'middle of next fiscal year', 2-3 quarter delay
Q2'25DeliveredPerformance Tech EBITDA margins to improve in FY25
14% margin maintained despite volume pressures
Q2'25PendingGenSet business to hit $120M in FY25
29% growth in Q2 suggests on track
Q2'25PendingAdvanced Solutions to grow 30%+ annually
Q2 showed 18% growth, needs acceleration to hit target
Q2'25DeliveredUK expansion coming online later this year
Completed ahead of schedule, first units produced last week
Q2'25ExceededData center sales to grow 80-90%
Raised to 100-110% growth
Q2'25PendingCDU first shipments in Q4 FY2025
Reiterated but with hedging language ('still anticipate')
Q1'25PendingHold Analyst and Investor Day in September
Confirmed for September 11 at headquarters
Q1'25PendingSimilar free cash flow to FY24
Q1 at $14M, needs strong Q2-Q4 to hit $127M target
Q1'25ExceededClimate Solutions margin improvement of 50 bps
Already achieved 100 bps improvement in Q1
Q1'25PendingPerformance Tech EBITDA margin improvement of 200 bps
Q1 showed 390 bps YoY improvement, on track
Q1'25MissedCDU development completion and launch by fiscal year end
Pushed to Q4 for 'first shipments', still in test phase
Q1'25ExceededData center sales to grow 60-70% in FY25
Already raised to 80-90% after just one quarter
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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