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Management credibility scorecard

Eli Lilly (LLY)

3 quarters tracked (Q4'25 to Q2'26) · latest call August 5, 2026
Get the next LLY call sheet
100%
Kept of 9 resolved - limited history
9
Kept or exceeded
0
Missed
4
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · flat

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q2'26August 5, 20267/121 high flags00Call sheet →
Q1'26April 30, 20269/123 medium, 3 low flags40Call sheet →
Q4'25February 4, 202611/122 medium, 6 low flags50Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q1'26DeliveredManufacturing capacity expansion to meet demand
Exceeded 1.8x production goal, though still supply-constrained
Q1'26DeliveredContinued R&D investment scaling with revenue growth
R&D up 28% vs 26% in 2025, scaling as promised
Q1'26PendingInternational launches 'throughout 2026' for Foundayo
Regulatory submissions in 40+ countries proceeding as planned
Q1'26Exceeded'Industry-leading growth' and 25% revenue growth for 2026
Q1 came in at +56% growth, well ahead of full-year 25% guidance midpoint
Q1'26PendingMedicare access effective 'no later than July 1'
Still on track, reaffirmed same timeline with same language
Q1'26DeliveredOrforglipron approval expected Q2 2026
Foundayo was approved April 2026, ahead of midpoint guidance
Q4'25DeliveredRaise full-year 2025 guidance based on strong performance
Delivered $65.2B revenue vs raised guidance of $63-63.5B
Q4'25DeliveredInternational Mounjaro strong uptake continuation
Became incretin share leader outside US as projected
Q4'25ExceededKisanla continued share gains in Alzheimer's
Achieved >50% market share, became US market leader
Q4'25PendingTRIUMPH-4 retatrutide results later this year
Timeline maintained from Q3 guidance
Q4'25PendingATTAIN-MAINTAIN results late 2025 or early 2026
Still expecting results 'later this year' - timeline unchanged
Q4'25ExceededManufacturing goal to produce 1.8 times incretin doses in 2025
Explicitly stated goal was exceeded
Q4'25DeliveredOrforglipron submissions beginning imminently for obesity
Submitted to FDA and 40+ countries as promised
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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