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Management credibility scorecard

Generac Holdings (GNRC)

3 quarters tracked (Q4'25 to Q2'26) · latest call July 29, 2026
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100%
Kept of 17 resolved
17
Kept or exceeded
0
Missed
4
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · flat

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q2'26July 29, 20267/121 high, 5 medium, 1 low flags70Call sheet →
Q1'26April 29, 202611/121 medium, 5 low flags40Call sheet →
Q4'25February 11, 20268/122 medium, 4 low flags60Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q2'26On‑trackCapEx to stay below 5% of sales
Guidance now 4.5% of sales; no breach yet.
Q2'26DeliveredIncrease dealer network by ~300‑400 partners
Dealer count now 9,700, up ~400 YoY.
Q2'26DeliveredResidential segment margin expansion via Generac Home
Residential adjusted EBITDA margin rose from 23.1% to 34.7% YoY, driven by price‑cost dynamics and tariff refunds.
Q2'26DeliveredAchieve operating leverage to boost adjusted EBITDA margin
Margin rose from 18.3% (Q1) to 24.8% (Q2) after tariff boost and leverage.
Q2'26DeliveredIntegrate Enercon to improve CNI margin
Acquisition closed April 1; margin uplift of ~50 bps noted.
Q2'26DeliveredRaise FY 2026 net‑sales guidance
Guidance lifted to mid‑high teens overall; CNI growth upgraded.
Q2'26DeliveredSecure meaningful volume from hyperscale data‑center customers
Two multi‑year agreements signed, first at $700 m, second pending.
Q2'26DeliveredSussex facility to begin production in H2 2026
Now on track for Q3 start, a quarter ahead of schedule.
Q1'26PendingFull year weighted average diluted share count 59.5-60 million shares
Maintained guidance range, no update provided
Q1'26ExceededAdjusted EBITDA margins 18-19% for full year 2026
Raised guidance to 18.5-19.5% range after Q1 outperformance
Q1'26ExceededSussex facility online in second half of 2026
Pulled forward to Q3 from Q4, accelerating capacity availability
Q1'26PendingResidential net sales increase in plus 10% range for 2026
Q1 showed 1% growth but maintained full-year 10% guidance
Q1'26ExceededC&I product sales growth in the plus 30% range during 2026
Q1 delivered 28% growth, raised full-year guidance to mid-to-high 20% range
Q1'26DeliveredWe expect 2026 will be an inflection point for Generac in data center end market
Q1 results show $300M backlog growth and accelerated hyperscale negotiations
Q4'25DeliveredSeveral important capacity expansion projects in Q4
Bought Sussex facility, ordered equipment, made facility investments
Q4'25DeliveredContinue to reduce lead times to historically normal levels
Successfully brought lead times down across C&I products
Q4'25DeliveredEcobee to deliver positive EBITDA contribution for full year
Achieved positive EBITDA for 2025
Q4'25DeliveredEnergy tech products to be $300-400M range
Came in at $375M, high end of range
Q4'25PendingWe expect 2025 will be an important inflection point
Now says 2026 will be the inflection point, pushed timeline
Q4'25DeliveredFirst domestic shipments began in October
Confirmed domestic large megawatt shipments started October
Q4'25ExceededData center backlog doubled to more than $300M over the last 90 days
Delivered $400M backlog, up $100M in 90 days
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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