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Management credibility scorecard

Expedia Group (EXPE)

3 quarters tracked (Q4'25 to Q2'26) · latest call August 5, 2026
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100%
Kept of 13 resolved
13
Kept or exceeded
0
Missed
3
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · accretor

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q2'26August 5, 20267/125 medium, 4 low flags30Call sheet →
Q1'26May 7, 20269/124 medium, 3 low flags40Call sheet →
Q4'25February 12, 20268/123 medium, 3 low flags60Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q2'26DeliveredI'm pleased to welcome Derek Anderson as our next CFO
Derek Anderson is confirmed serving as CFO and presenting on the Q2 call.
Q2'26PendingWe reiterate our expectations for gross bookings growth and revenue growth... margin expansion of 100 to 125 basis points
FY2026 is not yet complete; management revised the full-year guide upward to 150-175bps margin expansion this quarter, a revision rather than a final delivery or miss.
Q2'26ExceededFor EBITDA, we expect second quarter EBITDA margins to be up 50 to 100 basis points
Q2 adjusted EBITDA margin expanded by 'nearly two points' YoY, well above the guided 50-100bps.
Q2'26ExceededFor the second quarter, we expect gross bookings growth of 7% to 9% and revenue growth of 9% to 11%
Actual Q2 bookings grew 12% and revenue grew 14%, both above the guided ranges.
Q1'26DeliveredContinued progress in operating discipline and execution
Consumer bookings growth accelerated to 10% while marketing spend down 7%
Q1'26DeliveredCost actions taken in Q4 will favorably impact 2026
Q1 overhead expenses up only 4% while revenue up 15%, showing leverage
Q1'26DeliveredWe would expect to come in at the high end of EBITDA margin expansion range
Q1 delivered +600bps vs 100-125bps full year guide, tracking to high end
Q1'26PendingMarketing efficiency will moderate as we lap elevated levels
Scott warned this in Q4 call, seeing early signs in Q2 guidance
Q1'26DeliveredWe will continue to prioritize B2B investments to support future growth
B2B margins flat YoY as promised, investments continuing with new Uber partnership
Q1'26PendingWe expect full-year margins to expand by 100 to 125 basis points
Reiterated exact same guidance range - on track with Q1 delivering +600bps
Q4'25ExceededGrow lodging property count
Delivered 10% growth, first specific metric on supply expansion
Q4'25DeliveredRecord number of active advertising partners
Confirmed record partner count with 19% revenue growth
Q4'25DeliveredInvest behind growth initiatives while maintaining cost discipline
B2B margins compressed as warned, overhead flat while revenue grew
Q4'25DeliveredContinue marketing leverage in B2C business
Achieved 50bps leverage again, but Scott hedged on sustainability
Q4'25DeliveredFurther margin expansion in 2026 at more moderated pace
Guided to 100-125bps expansion, confirming the moderation
Q4'25ExceededContinue double-digit B2B growth (17th consecutive quarter mentioned in Q3)
Delivered 24% growth, accelerating from 18% in Q3
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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