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Management credibility scorecard

Enterprise Financial Services (EFSC)

4 quarters tracked (Q4'25 to Q3'26) · latest call October 22, 2026
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43%
Kept of 7 resolved - limited history
3
Kept or exceeded
4
Missed
13
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · flat

For context on Enterprise Bank & Trust's small-business lending footprint, see its SBA lending profile on US Lender Metrics, including approval volume, loan sizes and industry mix. SBA approvals are not the same as funded loans or recognized revenue; the profile states its reporting period.

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q3'26October 22, 20269/121 high, 4 medium, 3 low flags02Call sheet →
Q2'26July 23, 202610/121 high, 3 medium, 4 low flags21Call sheet →
Q1'26April 23, 20267/122 high, 4 medium, 2 low flags00Call sheet →
Q4'25January 27, 20269/122 high, 5 medium, 1 low flags11Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q3'26MissedYeah, I think, Jeff, maybe if you look back to 1Q, I think that's a little bit more of what we would expect on a recurring basis.
Q3 non-interest income was $13 million, still well below the implied 1Q-level recurring run-rate, with tax credit fair-value drag cited again.
Q3'26Pendingreaching our mid single digit growth for the year is another key focus and certainly attainable.
Q3 loan growth alone was $452 million (nearly 4% sequential) with trailing-12-month CNI growth of 17%, well ahead of pace for the mid-single-digit full-year target, but FY2026 is not yet complete.
Q3'26PendingThe buyers of these properties remain committed and we fully expect to resolve this and execute on the disposition.
Still unresolved three quarters later; management now points to Q1 2027 before monetization begins, an additional slip from the open-ended framing.
Q3'26PendingI do think that we expect the tax credit line to at least break even for the year.
Q3 alone produced a ~$7 million negative hit from fair-value declines in that line, making the full-year breakeven target unlikely, though FY2026 is not yet complete and management is now moving to exit this reporting line entirely rather than manage it to breakeven.
Q3'26MissedI would expect our charge-offs going forward to normalize back to kind of our 10-year historical norms which is 15 basis points.
Q3 net charge-offs came in at 36bps annualized; management explicitly stated 'this obviously did not occur', missing the 15-20bps expectation set last quarter.
Q2'26DeliveredWill continue evaluating further share repurchases given current stock levels
382,000 shares repurchased for ~$23M in Q2, plus a new 2M-share authorization approved in July
Q2'26ExceededNIM expected to remain in the low to mid 4.2% range for the remainder of 2026
Q2 NIM printed at 4.30%, above the stated range, and management raised the forward guide to mid-to-upper 420s
Q2'26PendingBullish on mid-single-digit balance sheet/loan growth for full-year 2026
Full-year target not yet due; reaffirmed this quarter as 'certainly attainable' after a $200M organic growth quarter
Q2'26MissedThree of four Southern California OREO properties should transact in Q2 2026, the fourth later this year
None of the four closed; a bankruptcy appeal on one of the unsold properties clouded title across the whole portfolio, delaying all contracted closings
Q1'26PendingSBA gain on sale to grow modestly (~5%) from 2025 levels in 2026
Year not complete; Q1 included a $25M SBA sale generating a $1.4M gain, consistent with continued activity but not yet measurable against the full-year target.
Q1'26Pending2026 expenses to grow around 5% off a ~$441M base
Full year not complete; Q1 commentary describes expenses as roughly flat sequentially on a pre-provision basis with NII offsetting growth, no updated full-year dollar figure given.
Q1'26Pending2026 net interest margin run rate roughly 4.2%
Year not complete; Q1 NIM came in at 4.28%, and the updated guide is 'low to mid 4.2%', broadly consistent with the original target.
Q1'26Pending2026 balance sheet growth of 6% to 8%
Full year not complete; guidance was revised down this quarter to 'mid-single digit', a cut worth tracking, not yet a miss or delivery.
Q1'26PendingResolution of the OREO properties expected 'by the end of the second quarter' (Q2 2026)
As of the Q1'26 call, only 4 of 7 properties are under contract, with three transacting in Q2 and the fourth 'later this year'; deadline has not yet passed.
Q1'26PendingNPAs to reduce from 95bps to a 'historically normalized level of 35 to 40 basis points' over the next quarter or two
Current transcript gives no NPA bps figure at all, only OREO property/contract status; the actual bps was not stated on the call, so progress against this specific target cannot be verified.
Q4'25PendingNIM 'flirting with a 420-ish margin for most of 26'
Full-year target not yet concluded; current guide of roughly 4.2% for 2026 is broadly consistent with the prior statement.
Q4'25Pending2026 expense growth of roughly 3.5%
Fiscal-year target not yet concluded; however, management has already revised the guide upward to roughly 5% this quarter, a notable increase worth tracking rather than a miss per se.
Q4'25DeliveredExpect to collect the full balance on the seven Southern California CRE loans ($68.4M) via foreclosure
Six of seven properties were foreclosed and taken into OREO with no net loss recognized on the foreclosures; final resolution of sale proceeds on the seventh property and remaining five PSAs is still pending in 2026.
Q4'25PendingExpect full principal collection on the $12 million life insurance premium finance loan, with NPAs returning to favorable historical norms 'in the coming quarter'
Actual not stated on the call; the loan is not mentioned at all in the Q4 transcript despite being named specifically last quarter. Unverified whether it was collected, remains outstanding, or was charged off.
Q4'25MissedExpect NPAs to return to historical levels over the next few quarters
NPAs rose from 83bps to 95bps this quarter rather than normalizing, and management has now pushed the timeline out again to 'next couple of quarters'.
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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