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Management credibility scorecard

Cboe Global Markets (CBOE)

3 quarters tracked (Q4'25 to Q2'26) · latest call July 31, 2026
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88%
Kept of 8 resolved - limited history
7
Kept or exceeded
1
Missed
11
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · flat

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q2'26July 31, 20269/123 medium, 2 low flags00Call sheet →
Q1'26May 1, 20264/122 high, 3 medium, 3 low flags41Call sheet →
Q4'25February 6, 202610/122 medium, 4 low flags30Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q2'26PendingStrategic realignment actions, including the additional changes announced today, are expected to reduce our workforce by approximately 20%
No completion date was given in Q1, and no headcount progress update was provided on the Q2 call at all; status cannot be assessed due to total silence on the metric this quarter.
Q2'26Pending$20 million-$25 million of additional strategic realignment savings expected to be realized in 2026
FY2026 has not ended; management reaffirmed the identical $20M-$25M figure this quarter with no interim actual disclosed.
Q2'26PendingStrategic realignment actions expected to deliver $100 million-$120 million in aggregate annualized expense savings once fully implemented
This is a multi-year target with no stated completion date reached yet; no interim actual realized-savings figure was disclosed this quarter.
Q2'26Pending2026 Data Vantage organic net revenue growth to be in the low double-digit range
FY2026 has not ended; guidance was raised to low teens before being adjusted back toward low double-digit range to reflect the Australia sale, a revision not a final delivered result.
Q2'26Pending2026 total organic net revenue growth to be in the low double-digit to mid-teens range
FY2026 has not ended; guidance was raised to mid-to-high teens this quarter, a positive revision not yet a delivered full-year result.
Q2'26Pending2026 CapEx guidance range of $73 million-$83 million
FY2026 has not ended; management revised the range upward to $98M-$108M this quarter, a guidance revision rather than a delivered or missed outcome.
Q2'26PendingWe expect that interest income net of interest expense will be a three and a half million dollars to a four and a half million dollars positive contributor for the second quarter of 2026
Q2 has now been reported but management did not disclose the actual Q2 net interest income figure on this call; actual not stated on the call.
Q1'26MissedFedEx wind down
Promised cost reduction, delivered complete closure instead
Q1'26DeliveredLeadership transition for COO role
Scott Johnston started in February, Christopher Isaacson transitioning as planned
Q1'26DeliveredRussell 2000 options in GTH
Launched in Q1 as committed
Q1'26DeliveredSecurities financing transaction growth
Reached €1B notional, hundreds of contracts daily as promised
Q1'26PendingCboe Canada and Australia sale process
Definitive agreement reached but no closing date provided
Q1'26ExceededMid to high single-digit DataVantage growth for 2026
Raised to low double digits, though driven by one-time data sales
Q4'25MixedFocus on multi-list options market share and revenue optimization
Revenue growth strong but market share dropped to 22% from 24%
Q4'25DeliveredContinued international broker onboarding
Added Taiwan broker, expanded Korea to 7 of 10 brokers
Q4'25PendingLaunch MAG 10 index options subject to regulatory approval
No update provided on regulatory status or launch timing
Q4'25PendingStrategic realignment to be accretive to earnings
Timeline pushed to 2026 for full realization of benefits
Q4'25DeliveredFull year total organic net revenue growth in low double digit to mid-teens
Achieved 17% growth, within raised guidance range
Q4'25ExceededDataVantage organic growth in mid to high single-digit range
Delivered 10% growth vs guided mid-to-high single digit
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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