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Management credibility scorecard

American Tower (AMT)

4 quarters tracked (Q3'25 to Q2'26) · latest call July 28, 2026
Get the next AMT call sheet
94%
Kept of 16 resolved
15
Kept or exceeded
1
Missed
8
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · flat

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q2'26July 28, 20265/122 high, 5 medium, 1 low flags20Call sheet →
Q1'26April 28, 202610/121 medium, 5 low flags40Call sheet →
Q4'25February 24, 202611/126 low flags41Call sheet →
Q3'25October 28, 202511/122 medium, 5 low flags50Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q2'26PendingReturn to positive LatAm organic growth in 2027
Still at -2%, no improvement yet but timeline unchanged
Q2'26DeliveredCapital allocation 85% to developed markets
Explicitly confirmed maintaining this allocation
Q2'26PendingCash EBITDA margin expansion of 200-300bps by 2030
Made progress but only 30bps expansion ex-DISH this quarter
Q2'26PendingAfrica organic growth 10% H1, 7% H2 due to churn timing
H1 target hit at 11%, H2 performance TBD
Q2'26ExceededData center growth of 13% for full year
Raised to 15% growth, clearly outperforming
Q2'26PendingOrganic tenant billings growth of ~4% ex-DISH for full year
On track at 4% through Q2, but H2 is when this gets tested
Q1'26ExceededEarlier market repair in Brazil with 2027 acceleration
Now expecting acceleration one year earlier than previously guided, positive development.
Q1'26PendingBack half weighted churn in Africa/APAC
Q1 showed 11% growth vs. guided 8.5%, suggesting churn timing tracking as expected.
Q1'26DeliveredApproximately 4% organic tenant billings growth globally ex-DISH
Delivered exactly 4% ex-DISH in Q1, with guidance maintained for full year.
Q1'26ExceededDouble-digit growth from data center business
CoreSite delivered 17% growth vs. guided 13%, with interconnection inflection ahead of expectations.
Q1'26DeliveredMid-single digit organic growth in developed markets long-term
U.S./Canada delivered ~5% ex-DISH, Europe at 4%, both within mid-single digit range as promised.
Q1'26PendingIndustry-leading attributable AFFO per share growth
Q1 delivered -1% growth, but management maintains this is temporary due to DISH churn. Ex-DISH showing ~4% growth supports the promise.
Q4'25MissedContinue to expect consolidated organic tenant billings growth of approximately 5% (Q3)
Guided to 1% (4% ex-DISH) due to DISH default not anticipated in Q3
Q4'25PendingCoreSite to achieve mid-teens or higher stabilized yields (Q3)
Reiterated target, no specific update on achievement timeline
Q4'25DeliveredRemain disciplined stewards of capital and strive to generate durable cash flow growth (Q3)
$365M buyback plus maintained dividend growth demonstrates active capital allocation
Q4'25DeliveredPlan to deploy vast majority of growth CapEx to developed tower markets and CoreSite (Q3)
85% of discretionary spend directed to developed markets as promised
Q4'25DeliveredContinue to expect our international tower portfolio to deliver faster organic growth than the U.S. (Q3)
Africa/APAC at 8.5%, Europe at 4% vs US at 4.5% ex-DISH
Q4'25DeliveredLook forward to communicating more details on future efficiency initiatives as part of our 2026 outlook (Q3)
Provided specific 200-300 bps margin expansion target with four initiative areas
Q3'25DeliveredChurn to trend down after Sprint completion
Rod confirmed churn will drop to ~1% from 2.3% starting Q4
Q3'25ExceededNet leverage toward 5x or below by H2 2025
Achieved 4.9x in Q3, ahead of timeline
Q3'25ExceededCoreSite mid-teens stabilized yields achievable
Management confirms exceeding underwriting assumptions with favorable pricing
Q3'25DeliveredOrganic growth expectations around 5% consolidated
Hit 5.0% this quarter, maintained full-year guidance
Q3'25PendingCost efficiency targets by end of year
Pushed to Q4 earnings call, still working through scope with new COO
Q3'25ExceededSprint churn would complete by end of 2025
Completed in Q3, one quarter earlier than expected
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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