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Call sheet · Q2'26

Applied Digital (APLD)

Q2'26 earnings call · held January 7, 2026 · compared with the Q1'26 call · management-credibility review
5/12
Disclosure score
3 high, 4 medium, 1 low flags
Financial quality
Bottom line
The sleeper story is that APLD is morphing into a power aggregator and execution specialist while everyone focuses on their data center buildout; they're seeing 50+ stranded power sites weekly and becoming the scarce capability that can actually build for hyperscalers. The $5B hyperscaler win validates the model, but the 33% gap between cash collected ($8M) and revenue recognized ($12M) while DSO metrics vanish entirely suggests collection problems brewing beneath the headline growth. The binding constraint isn't power or demand, it's their ability to execute on multiple sites simultaneously, which Cummins essentially admitted: 'I'm thinking less about the demand side...more on how much can we build.' Most revealing quote: 'Nothing is done until it's done' regarding the 900MW pipeline after three months of 'advanced discussions' on Polaris Forge 2. My view changes if they actually close a lease in January and show positive operating cash flow.

The 30-second version

  • The sleeper: They're becoming a power broker, not just a data center operator
  • The obvious: First lease revenues finally hit, but it's the $69M tenant fit-out that's the real tell
  • The red flag: Cash lease revenue was $8M vs $12M recognized, and they buried DSO metrics entirely

What changed this quarter

MetricQ1'26Q2'26Change
Total Revenue$64.2M (+84% YoY)$126.6M (+250% YoY)+97% QoQ acceleration
HPC Hosting Revenue$26.3M (new)$85M ($73M fit-out + $12M lease)Lease revenue commenced
Data Center Hosting Revenue$36.1M$41.6M (+15% YoY)+15% growth maintained
Operating Income-$19M-$26MWidening losses despite revenue surge
Net Loss-$27.8M (-$0.11/share)-$31.2M (-$0.11/share)Stable per-share loss
Adjusted EBITDA$5.0M$20.2M+304% QoQ surge
Operating Cash FlowNot disclosedNot disclosedStill hiding CFFO
Cash & Equivalents$114.1M$2.3B+$2.2B from debt raise
Total Debt$687.3M$2.6B+278% debt load
Stock-Based Comp$16.6M$23.8M+43% QoQ surge

Accountability tracked

7 new promises made4 narrative shifts flagged6 prior promises scored
Inside the full report
The complete write-up covers the full promise ledger with kept/missed calls, disclosure-quality scoring, the metrics-vanished check, verification items, and the questions to ask next quarter.
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Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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