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Management credibility scorecard

Yum! Brands (YUM)

4 quarters tracked (Q3'25 to Q2'26) · latest call July 30, 2026
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100%
Kept of 13 resolved
13
Kept or exceeded
0
Missed
11
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · flat

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q2'26July 30, 20265/122 high, 4 medium, 2 low flags20Call sheet →
Q1'26April 29, 20266/121 high, 2 medium, 5 low flags20Call sheet →
Q4'25February 4, 202610/122 medium, 6 low flags60Call sheet →
Q3'25November 4, 20259/122 medium, 4 low flags30Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q2'26DeliveredMid-single digit G&A growth excluding Pizza Hut
Tracking at 2% in Q2, well below guidance
Q2'26PendingByte rollout to 2,000 KFC locations in UK and Australia this year
UK progressing with Taco Bell but Australia update conspicuously absent
Q2'26PendingKFC loyalty in markets representing 75% of system sales by year end
On track per management but no interim milestone disclosed
Q2'26PendingRoll out AI-driven A/B testing nationwide at Taco Bell this year
Now at 900+ stores but shifted language from company-led to franchisee-driven
Q2'26DeliveredComplete Pizza Hut strategic review in 2026
Announced definitive agreements in June, closing expected August
Q2'26PendingTaco Bell U.S. restaurant margins between 24.5% and 25.5% for full year
Q2 at 26.2% but Q3 guide of 19-21% makes this target mathematically challenging
Q1'26DeliveredPizza Hut Q1 core operating profit in line with guidance
Delivered as promised with Hut Forward expenses included
Q1'26ExceededTaco Bell US restaurant margins 24.5-25.5% for 2026
Raised guidance from previous 24-25% range due to better top line and acquired store margins
Q1'26PendingEx-special G&A growth ex-Pizza Hut mid-single digits for 2026
Includes Q2 high single-digit growth timing impact from project spend
Q1'26PendingMeet or exceed long-term growth algorithm ex-Pizza Hut including 8% operating profit growth
Reaffirmed confidence with 'meet or exceed' language for every component
Q1'26PendingComplete Pizza Hut strategic review in 2026
Softened timeline from 'this year' in Q4 to just '2026' in Q1
Q1'26PendingDeploy smart ops in KFC UK and digital ordering in KFC Australia in 2026
Specifically mentioned UK and Australia deployments representing 2,000 incremental locations
Q4'25DeliveredPizza Hut strategic review process proceeding as planned
Process ongoing, timeline maintained
Q4'25DeliveredTaco Bell acquisition to complete in Q4
128-unit acquisition completed for $668 million
Q4'25DeliveredQ4 ex-special G&A to grow mid-single-digit percentage
5% growth rate delivered as guided
Q4'25DeliveredFull year 2025 performance may land slightly below algorithm due to Pizza Hut
Confirmed algorithm miss but isolated to Pizza Hut division
Q4'25DeliveredTaco Bell to deliver strong international development
155 gross international units, up almost 40% from prior year
Q4'25DeliveredKFC to achieve record gross unit openings on full year basis
Nearly 3,000 units opened, confirmed record
Q3'25DeliveredMeet or exceed total gross builds from last year for all brands
Q3 record gross openings of 1,131 put company ahead of prior year pace
Q3'25PendingCore operating profit growth of 8% excluding 53rd week
Q3 delivered 7% growth, need Q4 double-digit growth to achieve full year target
Q3'25ExceededG&A ex special to grow mid-single digits for full year
Now expect high end of mid-single digit increase, but Q3 actually showed sequential decline
Q3'25PendingTaco Bell International commitment of 100 net new units this year
Management reiterated 'on track' to meet commitment with Q3 acceleration
Q3'25DeliveredKFC to achieve record gross unit openings on full year basis
Q3 gross openings of 760 put KFC on track for record year as promised
Q3'25PendingTaco Bell U.S. restaurant level margins to land at 24-25% for full year
Q3 showed 23.9% margins, need Q4 acceleration to hit guidance despite ongoing beef inflation headwinds
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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