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Management credibility scorecard

Exxon Mobil (XOM)

3 quarters tracked (Q4'25 to Q2'26) · latest call July 31, 2026
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85%
Kept of 13 resolved
11
Kept or exceeded
2
Missed
5
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · flat

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q2'26July 31, 20269/122 high, 2 medium, 3 low flags31Call sheet →
Q1'26May 1, 20269/123 medium, 2 low flags31Call sheet →
Q4'25January 30, 202610/126 low flags50Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q2'26ExceededMaintain industry-leading operational performance
Delivered strong results despite losing 10% of production
Q2'26MissedEnterprise transformation to deliver major value
Pushed major rollouts to 2027, only 'early deployments' completed
Q2'26PendingContinue advancing LNG FIDs in PNG and Mozambique
Still targeting FIDs later this year, no slippage announced
Q2'26PendingPermian production to reach 1.8MM boe/d in 2026
On track per Q2 production of 1.8MM+
Q2'26DeliveredGolden Pass Train 1 to achieve first LNG in Q1
Achieved first LNG in March as scheduled
Q2'26DeliveredGuyana to deliver record production
Hit ~900kbd gross production as promised
Q1'26ExceededCCS third-party projects and contract growth
New Generation Gas project started, 7 contracts secured, 4M tons/year additional capacity planned
Q1'26DeliveredContinue structural cost savings outpacing competitors
Maintained savings greater than all other IOCs combined
Q1'26PendingPapua New Guinea and Mozambique FID progress in 2026
Still expecting FID later this year, Mozambique back half specifically
Q1'26MissedLightweight proppant 50% of wells by end of year
Timeline slipped from end of 2025 to end of 2026 without explicit acknowledgment
Q1'26PendingPermian 1.8M boepd annual production in 2026
On track according to management, quarterly lumpiness noted
Q1'26DeliveredGolden Pass first LNG in very early March
Achieved first LNG in March as projected
Q4'25DeliveredSingapore resid upgrade project validation
Demonstrated full capacity performance with proprietary catalyst
Q4'25DeliveredProxima systems expansion startup around year-end
Completed with capacity more than tripled
Q4'25DeliveredLightweight proppant deployment in about 25% of wells in 2025
Achieved the 25% target as promised
Q4'25PendingGolden Pass LNG startup around year-end 2025
On track for early March 2026 - slight delay but within reasonable range
Q4'25ExceededYellowtail FPSO to come online
Delivered four months ahead of schedule
Q4'25Delivered10 key projects to start up in 2025
All 10 projects commenced startup activities meeting the goal
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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