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Management credibility scorecard

Vulcan Materials (VMC)

4 quarters tracked (Q3'25 to Q2'26) · latest call July 29, 2026
Get the next VMC call sheet
89%
Kept of 18 resolved
16
Kept or exceeded
2
Missed
7
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · flat

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q2'26July 29, 20264/122 high, 2 medium, 2 low flags21Call sheet →
Q1'26April 29, 202610/123 medium, 3 low flags40Call sheet →
Q4'25February 17, 202610/121 medium, 5 low flags51Call sheet →
Q3'25October 30, 202511/125 low flags50Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q2'26PendingAchieve cash gross profit per ton of $20.
No per‑ton figure disclosed; prior quarter $11.38/ton - far from target.
Q2'26PendingMaintain adjusted EBITDA guidance range $2.4‑$2.6 bn.
Current half‑year EBITDA $1.101 bn, on track but no cushion for downside.
Q2'26MissedClose California concrete divestiture in Q2.
Divestiture still pending; no close announced during call.
Q2'26DeliveredReturn on invested capital to improve.
ROIC rose to 16.1 % (up 20 bps).
Q2'26DeliveredMid‑year price increases will be implemented.
Management confirmed mid‑year increases were pulled forward to June.
Q2'26PendingStrong public activity will continue to drive shipments growth in 2026.
Q2 shipments were “lower than expected volumes in many areas due to wet weather”; no hard shipment number released.
Q1'26DeliveredContinued expansion of aggregates cash gross profit per ton
Still targeting $20 per ton long-term, sequential improvement shown
Q1'26Pending$2.4B-$2.6B adjusted EBITDA for 2026
Reaffirmed guidance despite cost headwinds
Q1'26PendingCalifornia ready-mix divestiture closing in 2026
Expected to close in Q2, still on track
Q1'26PendingLow single-digit cash cost increases for full year
Q1 at +4%, Q2 expected high single-digit due to diesel - at risk
Q1'26DeliveredAggregates pricing 4-6% growth with lower end early, higher end later
Q1 at +4%, exactly at low end as predicted
Q1'26DeliveredReturn to modest aggregate shipments growth in 2026
Q1 shipments +5% YoY, tracking ahead of 1-3% full year guidance
Q1'26DeliveredAggregate cash gross profit per ton to reach $11-$12 range (from Q4 call)
Hit $11.33 for full year 2025, now at $11.38 trailing 12 months
Q4'25ExceededMaintain cost discipline through VWO efforts
Unit costs up less than 2% vs low single-digit guidance
Q4'25DeliveredMid-single-digit pricing improvement for 2026
Guided to 4-6% freight-adjusted pricing
Q4'25DeliveredContinue expanding EBITDA margin
Expanded 160 bps to 29.3%, accelerating from prior year
Q4'25ExceededAggregate cash gross profit per ton growth to exceed historical averages
Hit $11-12 target range with $11.33, up 7%
Q4'25MissedAdjusted EBITDA of $2.35-2.45B for 2025
Delivered $2.30B, below midpoint but within range
Q4'25DeliveredFull year shipments to increase approximately 3%
Achieved exactly 3% with 227M tons vs guidance
Q3'25ExceededVulcan Way of Operating cost benefits
Unit costs down 2% despite volume surge - better than expected
Q3'25PendingWake Stone pricing integration
Still working to close pricing gap, contributing to mix headwinds
Q3'25DeliveredCapital allocation priorities unchanged
Maintained dividend, $300M returned to shareholders, acquisitions funded
Q3'25DeliveredContinued unit margin expansion
Cash gross profit per ton up 9% despite volume/mix challenges
Q3'25Delivered3% to 5% full year shipment growth
Now expecting 3% at low end of range, driven by weather recovery
Q3'25DeliveredFull year adjusted EBITDA of $2.35B to $2.55B
Tightened to $2.35B-$2.45B but within original range
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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