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Management credibility scorecard

Visa (V)

4 quarters tracked (Q4'25 to Q3'26) · latest call July 28, 2026
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100%
Kept of 20 resolved
20
Kept or exceeded
0
Missed
6
Still pending

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q3'26July 28, 20266/121 high, 4 medium, 3 low flags40Call sheet →
Q2'26April 28, 202610/123 medium, 3 low flags40Call sheet →
Q1'262026-01-2910/124 medium, 4 low flags60Call sheet →
Q4'252025-10-2810/122 medium, 3 low flags60Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q3'26DeliveredDPS-Pismo integrated solution piloting in Q4
Confirmed piloting in Q4 with first client secured
Q3'26PendingWells Fargo to migrate to Pismo's core account ledger
Still described as 'over the coming years', no acceleration mentioned
Q3'26PendingExpect Q4 to be approximately 1 point step-up from Q3 revenue growth
Now guiding Q4 at high end of low double digits, similar to Q3 adjusted basis
Q3'26DeliveredOperating expense growth expected in low teens for Q3
17% growth technically in 'teens' but at high end
Q3'26ExceededQ3 EPS growth expected mid to high single digits
Delivered 11% growth, well above mid-high single digit guidance
Q3'26ExceededQ3 net revenue growth expected in low double digits
Delivered 14% growth, above low double digits guidance
Q2'26DeliveredExpanding Pismo to 15 new countries since acquisition
Reached target with France, Philippines, Paraguay, Romania in Q2
Q2'26ExceededVolatility drag throughout the year
Volatility performed better than expected in Q2
Q2'26DeliveredStep-up in incentive growth from Q1 to Q2
14% vs 12% growth as forecasted
Q2'26DeliveredQ2 expense step-up due to Olympics and FIFA
17% expense growth as expected, marketing-driven
Q2'26PendingTax rate between 19-20% long term
FY26 lowered to 18-18.5% due to legal settlement benefits
Q2'26PendingAdjusted operating expense growth in low double digits
Raised to 'low double digits to low teens' due to FIFA marketing
Q2'26PendingFull year adjusted net revenue growth in low double digits
Raised to 'low double digits to low teens' - exceeded original guidance
Q1'26ExceededCommercial solutions would show strong performance
20% CMS revenue growth was better than expected
Q1'26DeliveredCross-border would remain strong
11% growth maintained from prior quarter despite mix headwinds
Q1'26ExceededValue-added services momentum would continue
28% growth exceeded expectations and drove 50% of total growth
Q1'26DeliveredMarketing expenses would step up in Q2 and Q3 for Olympics/FIFA
Q1 showed higher marketing expenses as predicted, with more to come
Q1'26DeliveredBenefits of new pricing similar in magnitude to 2024
Pricing contributed as expected in Q1 with majority still coming in back half
Q1'26DeliveredQ3 would have highest incentive growth rate in 2025
Q3 2025 incentives grew faster than other quarters as promised
Q1'26PendingFull year adjusted net revenue growth in low double digits
Maintained guidance despite FX volatility headwinds - we'll track this
Q4'25DeliveredQ4 adjusted net revenue growth expected in high single digits to low double digits
Came in at 12% nominal, 11% constant currency - within guided range
Q4'25DeliveredWe expected to expand Pismo to clients in more than 5 countries across 4 regions in 2025
Achieved the goal and signed first Pismo stablecoin-linked card deal with Gnosis Pay
Q4'25DeliveredWe are targeting 25 countries for Visa Accept launch with Sri Lanka first
Sri Lanka launched, targeting 7M sellers, with 25-country expansion confirmed
Q4'25DeliveredWe expected pricing benefits in FY25 to be similar to FY24 but more back-half weighted
Pricing contributed meaningfully to Q4 data processing and service revenue growth
Q4'25DeliveredWe expected Q4 to be the highest growth quarter for incentives in FY25
Incentives grew 17% vs 13% in Q3, as guided
Q4'25ExceededWe will soon enter the live transaction pilot phase for agentic commerce with general availability to follow later this year
Actually delivered - now powering live agentic transactions and released merchant agent toolkit
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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