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Management credibility scorecard

UMB Financial (UMBF)

2 quarters tracked (Q1'26 to Q2'26) · latest call July 29, 2026
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80%
Kept of 5 resolved - limited history
4
Kept or exceeded
1
Missed
5
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · structural change

For context on UMB Bank's small-business lending footprint, see its SBA lending profile on US Lender Metrics, including approval volume, loan sizes and industry mix. SBA approvals are not the same as funded loans or recognized revenue; the profile states its reporting period.

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q2'26July 29, 20267/121 high, 4 medium, 2 low flags21Call sheet →
Q1'26April 29, 20265/126 medium, 2 low flags20Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q2'26Pending2026 tax rate expected between 20% and 22%
Full-year target; Q2 actual of 20.8% is within range but year not complete.
Q2'26PendingContinue to expect positive operating leverage for full year 2026 despite lower contractual accretion benefits
Full fiscal year not yet complete; management reaffirmed the same commitment this quarter.
Q2'26DeliveredSecond quarter margin relatively flat vs. Q1 adjusted 3.05% core
Core margin came in at 3.09%, up 4bps sequentially, within the 'relatively flat' framing and modestly ahead.
Q2'26MissedSecond quarter operating expense in line with consensus of ~$383 million
Actual operating non-interest expense was $398 million, up 6% QoQ, roughly $15M above the guided figure, driven by deferred comp and the new unexplained operational losses line.
Q2'26DeliveredWe will continue to remain opportunistic in the second quarter
Repurchased 38,000 shares for $5 million, down sharply from 178,000 shares in Q1, but consistent with the non-quantified 'opportunistic' framing rather than a committed pace.
Q1'26PendingFICA and other payroll taxes expected to decline by approximately $10 million in the second quarter
Q2 2026 period has not ended as of this call; no resolution stated.
Q1'26PendingEffective tax rate expected between 20% and 22% for 2026
Full-year period not ended; Q1 effective rate of 21.1% is within the previously guided range and was reaffirmed.
Q1'26PendingExpect to achieve positive operating leverage in 2026
Full-year 2026 period has not ended; management reaffirmed the expectation this quarter.
Q1'26ExceededFirst quarter 2026 margin expected to be relatively flat versus Q4's adjusted 2.92% core margin
Core margin actually rose 9bps sequentially to 3.05%, beating the 'flat' expectation.
Q1'26ExceededFirst quarter 2026 operating expense expected in the $385 to $390 million range
Actual operating non-interest expense came in at $375.4 million, roughly $10M below the low end of guidance.
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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