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Management credibility scorecard

Tripadvisor (TRIP)

3 quarters tracked (Q4'25 to Q2'26) · latest call August 6, 2026
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100%
Kept of 12 resolved
12
Kept or exceeded
0
Missed
6
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · reducer

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q2'26August 6, 20268/125 medium, 3 low flags50Call sheet →
Q1'26May 7, 20268/123 medium, 3 low flags30Call sheet →
Q4'25February 12, 20268/122 medium, 4 low flags40Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q2'26PendingExpect growth to reaccelerate in the second half of the year
This is a full-year/H2 commitment whose deadline has not passed; however, management explicitly revised the tone this quarter to 'a more prudent outlook for the second half of 2026', a downgrade worth tracking rather than a resolved miss.
Q2'26DeliveredFormally exploring strategic alternatives for the fork with an update expected 'in the near term'
Resolved via the announced and signed definitive sale agreement for $700 million.
Q2'26DeliveredQ2 Hotels and Other revenue decline of approximately 21% to 24%
H&O revenue declined 21%, at the favorable end of the guided range.
Q2'26DeliveredQ2 fork revenue growth of approximately 10% to 13%
Fork revenue grew 13%, landing at the top of the guided range.
Q2'26DeliveredQ2 consolidated revenue (including the fork) down by mid-single digits
Management directly stated 'relative to our expectations, which included the fork, revenue was in line and adjusted EBITDA was above expectations'.
Q2'26DeliveredQ2 experiences bookings growth of approximately 5% to 8% and revenue growth of approximately 2% to 5%
Bookings grew 5%, at the very low end of the range; revenue grew 3%, within range.
Q1'26DeliveredLaunch AI-native MVP rapidly
Launched in Q4, serving half of web traffic in English markets
Q1'26PendingUpdate on Fork strategic alternatives in near term
Management confirmed good progress, update expected soon
Q1'26PendingMarketplace businesses to be ~67% of revenue by end 2026
On track but dependent on experiences recovery
Q1'26DeliveredHotels & Other mid to high teens revenue declines
Q1 down 20%, tracking to guidance midpoint
Q1'26ExceededFork margins to expand 200-300 basis points in 2026
Already delivered 600+ bps in Q1 with 8% margin vs 2% prior year
Q1'26PendingExperiences margins to expand 300-400 basis points in 2026
Q1 was -11% due to seasonality, but full year guidance maintained
Q4'25DeliveredRevenue and EBITDA growth in 2026
Guided to modest consolidated revenue growth and margin expansion
Q4'25PendingGeographic expansion focus on Europe given brand awareness
Called out as 2026 priority but no specific investments or metrics provided yet
Q4'25PendingCost savings program of at least $85M annualized
Program launched with $10M benefit in Q4, but full realization expected by 2027
Q4'25DeliveredExpect bookings growth acceleration in Q4
Hit 18% bookings growth at high end of 16-18% guidance range
Q4'25DeliveredTripadvisor and TheFork apps live in ChatGPT over next few weeks
Both apps launched, with Viator app also announced as live this week
Q4'25DeliveredLaunch AI-native MVP for planning phase in coming weeks in Q4
They launched the AI-native MVP in Q4 as promised, showing 'multiples higher engagement'
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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