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Management credibility scorecard

Targa Resources (TRGP)

4 quarters tracked (Q3'25 to Q2'26) · latest call August 6, 2026
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94%
Kept of 18 resolved
17
Kept or exceeded
1
Missed
10
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · flat

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q2'26August 6, 20268/123 medium, 3 low flags10Call sheet →
Q1'26May 7, 202611/126 low flags60Call sheet →
Q4'25February 19, 202611/122 medium, 4 low flags50Call sheet →
Q3'25November 5, 202511/122 medium, 4 low flags51Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q2'26PendingRoadrunner III and Copperhead II expected to begin service Q1 2028
Reaffirmed as on track per previously announced schedule; deadline far in the future.
Q2'26PendingSpeedway NGL pipeline on track for Q3 2027
Reaffirmed on track; deadline not yet reached.
Q2'26PendingBlackcomb in service Q4 2026 and Traverse mid-2027
Both reaffirmed on track; deadlines have not yet passed.
Q2'26PendingFY2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $5.7-5.9 billion
Range reaffirmed, now guiding to the top end rather than raising the range itself; year not complete, this is a revision not a delivery.
Q2'26PendingFY2026 net growth capital of approximately $4.5 billion
Reaffirmed unchanged for 2026; full year not complete.
Q2'26PendingLow double-digit Permian volume growth estimate for 2026
Fiscal year not complete; management now says growth is 'tracking higher' than February expectations but did not restate a specific growth percentage on this call.
Q2'26ExceededEast Driver plant remains on track to begin operations in the third quarter of 2026
Began service late in Q2 2026, ahead of the Q3 2026 target.
Q1'26PendingBlackcomb pipeline in service Q4 2026
Reaffirmed Q4 2026 timeline for Permian egress relief
Q1'26DeliveredTrain 11 fractionator to begin operations early Q2
Train 11 began operations early in Q2 2026
Q1'26DeliveredDelaware Express NGL pipeline startup
Currently in startup as of Q1 2026
Q1'26ExceededAdjusted EBITDA between $5.4B-$5.6B for 2026
Raised guidance to $5.7B-$5.9B, $300M increase
Q1'26DeliveredLow double-digit Permian volume growth for 2026
Reaffirmed guidance and on track through 4 months despite shut-ins
Q1'26PendingEast Driver plant on track for Q3 2026
Reaffirmed Q3 2026 timeline
Q1'26ExceededEast Pembrook plant scheduled for Q2 2026
East Pembrook began service early at end of Q1, ahead of Q2 schedule
Q1'26DeliveredFalcon 2 plant expected to come online ahead of schedule in Q1 2026
Falcon 2 came online in Q1 as promised, ahead of original schedule
Q4'25PendingDelaware Express, Train 11, Train 12, LPG export expansion on track
All projects confirmed on track for stated timelines
Q4'25DeliveredGrowth capital of approximately $3.3B in 2025
Invested approximately $3.3B as guided
Q4'25DeliveredPlants will be much needed at startup
Pembrook II and Bull Moose II came online at high utilization
Q4'25Delivered2026 as another year of strong low double-digit growth
Maintained exact same guidance language
Q4'25ExceededAt least 10% growth in Permian volumes for 2025
Delivered 11% Permian growth
Q4'25ExceededFull year 2025 adjusted EBITDA around top end of $4.65B-$4.85B range
Delivered $4.96B, above the top end
Q3'25PendingStrong low double-digit growth in 2026
Reaffirmed 2026 growth expectations based on current visibility
Q3'25Missed2025 net growth capex approximately $3.0B
Now $3.3B due to additional projects - $300M increase
Q3'25DeliveredTrain 11 fractionator Q2 2026 completion
Expected complete in Q2 2026 as promised
Q3'25DeliveredDelaware Express NGL pipeline Q2 2026 completion
Remains on track for Q2 2026 timeline
Q3'25DeliveredBull Moose II plant operations in Q4 2025
Commenced operations in October, ahead of schedule
Q3'25DeliveredPembrook II plant online during Q3 2025
Plant came online and 'running at high utilization'
Q3'25ExceededFull year 2025 adjusted EBITDA in range of $4.65B to $4.85B
Now expect 'around the top end' - upgraded guidance
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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