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Management credibility scorecard

Thermo Fisher Scientific (TMO)

4 quarters tracked (Q4'25 to Q3'26) · latest call October 21, 2026
Get the next TMO call sheet
75%
Kept of 16 resolved
12
Kept or exceeded
4
Missed
6
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · flat

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q3'26October 21, 202610/123 medium flags20Call sheet →
Q2'26July 23, 20266/121 high, 4 medium, 3 low flags20Call sheet →
Q1'26April 23, 20269/121 medium, 5 low flags32Call sheet →
Q4'252026-01-297/124 medium, 3 low flags52Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q3'26PendingWe grew 3% organically in the first half... and expect that to step up to 4% for the second half with both quarters being similar in terms of organic revenue growth.
Q3 organic growth of 6% exceeded the earlier 4% quarterly assumption. H2 is not complete: management now expects 5% H2 growth, with Q4 still guided to 4%.
Q3'26DeliveredDivestiture of the microbiology business expected to close in the third quarter.
Management confirmed the divestiture was completed during the quarter, with $1B in proceeds received.
Q3'26ExceededWe expect Q3 adjusted EPS to be $0.35 to $0.40 higher than in Q2.
Adjusted EPS increased $0.65 sequentially versus a guided $0.35-$0.40 increase. The Q3 result includes $0.15 from net tariff refunds.
Q2'26PendingWould actively manage to mitigate inflation pressures
Delivered strong margins in Q2 but hedging on H2 inflation
Q2'26DeliveredEnd markets would prove resilient despite macro complexity
All four end markets grew or improved sequentially
Q2'26PendingAcademic & Government would improve modestly over time
Returned to growth but not calling it sustained yet
Q2'26DeliveredWould see biotech spending pick up as year progressed
Confirmed biotech clearly we saw spending pick up
Q2'26PendingPharma Services would deliver much stronger growth in H2
Q2 was 'modest growth', now saying H2 'steps up meaningfully'
Q2'26PendingClario would add $900M revenue and $0.32 EPS for full year
On track per Q2 comments but only 1 quarter of ownership so far
Q1'26DeliveredClario transaction to close by 2026
Closed in late March 2026, slightly ahead of expectation
Q1'26DeliveredClinical research business to return to growth
Delivered mid-single-digit growth in Q4 and strong growth in Q1
Q1'26PendingAcademic and government to see greater stability improving modestly
Still seeing low single-digit declines, funding flows started improving in Q1
Q1'26Missed6-8% adjusted EPS growth for 2025
Delivered 5% growth, cited macro headwinds and tariff impacts
Q1'26Delivered50 basis points of adjusted operating margin expansion for 2025
Achieved 10bps expansion despite 100bps+ tariff headwinds
Q1'26Missed2025 full year organic growth of 3-4%
Delivered 2% organic growth, though pandemic roll-off was cited as ~1% headwind
Q4'25ExceededRecent acquisitions would be modestly dilutive in near term
Now expecting $0.07 dilution vs earlier modest expectations
Q4'25DeliveredChina conditions would stabilize, expecting mid to high single digit declines for 2025
Delivered mid-single digit decline as guided
Q4'25MissedAcademic/government would improve as budget uncertainty resolved
Maintained assumption of similar weak conditions despite budget progress
Q4'25Missed2025 guidance framework of 3-6% organic growth for 2026-2027 period
Cut 2026 guidance to 3-4%, effectively lowered framework
Q4'25DeliveredWould continue to actively manage cost base through PPI business system
Delivered 50-100 bps margin expansion despite headwinds
Q4'25DeliveredFiltration business integration progressing smoothly with positive customer feedback
Management confirmed smooth integration and customer satisfaction
Q4'25DeliveredClinical research business would show steady progression quarter over quarter, returning to growth in Q3
Delivered low single-digit growth in Q3 and mid-single digit in Q4 as promised
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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