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Management credibility scorecard

SiTime (SITM)

9 quarters tracked (Q2'24 to Q2'26) · latest call August 5, 2026
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85%
Kept of 26 resolved
22
Kept or exceeded
4
Missed
21
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · heavy diluter

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q2'26August 5, 20267/122 medium, 1 low flags00Call sheet →
Q1'26May 7, 20266/121 high, 4 medium, 3 low flags20Call sheet →
Q4'25February 4, 20263/122 high, 3 medium, 2 low flags31Call sheet →
Q3'25November 6, 20257/121 high, 4 medium, 2 low flags40Call sheet →
Q2'25August 6, 20252/122 high, 4 medium, 2 low flags31Call sheet →
Q1'25May 7, 20253/123 high, 4 medium, 1 low flags21Call sheet →
Q4'24February 5, 20253/123 high, 5 medium, 1 low flags11Call sheet →
Q3'24November 6, 20248/121 high, 5 medium, 2 low flags40Call sheet →
Q2'24August 7, 20246/121 high, 3 medium, 2 low flags30Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q1'26PendingMaintain 25-30% long-term growth rate post-Renesas
Raising 2026 to 80%+ suggests either pulling forward growth or one-time surge
Q1'26PendingEach of automotive, defense, and industrial to exceed $100M annually
Combined only at $85M run rate currently, needs significant acceleration
Q1'26PendingRenesas acquisition to close by end of 2026
Now just saying 'on track' without confirming timeline
Q1'26ExceededCED to reach 40-50% of revenue
Now at 66.6% of revenue, significantly above target range
Q1'26PendingAchieve 65% gross margin and 30% operating margin targets in Q2 2026
Guiding to 65% gross margin; operating margin should hit 30%+ based on guidance
Q1'26DeliveredExit 2025 at greater than 60% gross margins
Achieved 61.2% in Q4 2025, exceeded to 64.5% in Q1 2026
Q4'25DeliveredOperating leverage improvement
Operating margin expanded to 30% from 18% prior quarter
Q4'25DeliveredContinued triple-digit growth in CED
160% growth marks 7th consecutive quarter over 100%
Q4'25MissedTitan resonator to drive meaningful revenue in coming year
Pushed out to late 2026/2027, major timeline slip
Q4'25PendingCED to grow sequentially in Q1
Q1 guidance implies this is happening given overall growth
Q4'25DeliveredExit 2025 with gross margins greater than 60%
Hit 61.2% in Q4, meeting the target
Q3'25DeliveredContinue to invest in R&D and customer acquisition while improving leverage
R&D at $18.5M with operating margin expanding to 18.4%
Q3'25Pending40% revenue growth for full year 2025
Q3 at 45% YoY but deceleration concerning, needs strong Q4
Q3'25PendingSymphonic to contribute to revenue and grow significantly in 2026
Contributing now but 2026 growth still uncertain, language softened this quarter
Q3'25DeliveredCapEx to step down from Q2 levels in second half
$5.1M in Q3 vs $18.3M in Q2, massive reduction as promised
Q3'25DeliveredGross margin expansion with revenue growth from new products
58.8% in Q3 vs 58.2% in Q2, modest but directionally correct
Q3'25DeliveredExpect sequential revenue growth in each of Q3 and Q4
Q3 grew 20% sequentially, on track for Q4
Q2'25Missed25-30% growth for base business plus additional from new design win
Now claiming 'at least 40%' but Q2 only grew 58% YoY vs 83% in Q1, clear deceleration
Q2'25DeliveredOperating expenses in range of $33-33.5M
$33.3M actual, right in guided range
Q2'25PendingCED business to continue to grow through 2025
Still growing but deceleration from 198% to 137% YoY is concerning
Q2'25Pending60% gross margin target by end of year
At 58.2%, needs 180 bps in 2 quarters. Notably didn't reaffirm this target explicitly
Q2'25ExceededGross margins to be approximately flat compared with Q1
Gross margin expanded 80 bps to 58.2% vs flat guidance
Q2'25DeliveredExpect strength to continue in Q2
Q2 revenue of $69.5M beat their implied $64.7M midpoint guidance
Q1'25Pending5G success starting in 2026
Pushed out timeline, now saying 'isn't particularly large'
Q1'25MissedRevenue growth much faster than OpEx
Revenue declined sequentially while OpEx stayed flat
Q1'25Pending60% gross margin target
Still at 57.4%, language softening to 'working towards'
Q1'25PendingContinued CED strength through 2025
Q1 showed 198% YoY growth, tracking well so far
Q1'25DeliveredQ1 operating expenses roughly flat sequentially
OpEx came in at $32.5M, exactly flat
Q1'25ExceededGross margins of approximately 57% for Q1
Delivered 57.4%, slight beat
Q4'24DeliveredQ4 to grow sequentially
Achieved with 18% sequential growth to $68.1M
Q4'24PendingRevenue growth of approximately 30% in 2025
No reiteration of 30% target, only vague 'growth to continue'
Q4'24PendingClocking revenue approaching $100M in next few years
Added caveat that revenue 'still relatively small this year and next year'
Q4'24PendingBegin automotive volume shipments in 2025
Not mentioned at all this quarter, concerning omission
Q4'24PendingCED growing well in excess of 30% in 2025
Notably absent from guidance, only said 'will lead growth'
Q4'24MissedGetting back to 60% gross margin by H2 2025
Walked back to 'over time' with no timeline commitment
Q3'24Pending30% annual growth target
Appears on track with 62% YoY growth in Q3, but full year TBD
Q3'24PendingBoth Q3 and Q4 to grow sequentially
Q3 delivered 31% sequential growth, Q4 guided for continued growth
Q3'24ExceededCED to grow at fastest rate, more than 50% for the year
Tracking to 'more than double' per management, well above 50%
Q3'24DeliveredGross margins stable to slightly improving toward 58%
Hit 58.1%, though improvement was minimal at +40bps
Q3'24DeliveredReturn to operating profitability in Q3
Generated $4M operating profit vs prior quarter loss
Q3'24ExceededQ3 revenue guidance of $55M at midpoint
Delivered $57.7M, beat by $2.7M or 5%
Q2'24PendingGross margins to improve in H2
Q3 guided flat to slight improvement only
Q2'24DeliveredInventory normalization by end of Q2
Confirmed inventory at normal levels but CFFO went negative
Q2'24PendingSmall single-digit millions from Aura by late 2024
Not mentioned this quarter, suggesting delay
Q2'24DeliveredAll end markets expected to grow in 2024
All three segments showed double-digit YoY growth in Q2
Q2'24PendingReturn to target 30% growth rate
On track but requires ~$68M in Q4 to achieve
Q2'24DeliveredSequential growth throughout Q2, Q3, and Q4 2024
Q2 delivered 33% sequential growth, Q3 guided for 25% sequential
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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