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Management credibility scorecard

Qualcomm (QCOM)

4 quarters tracked (Q4'25 to Q3'26) · latest call July 29, 2026
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89%
Kept of 18 resolved
16
Kept or exceeded
2
Missed
6
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · accretor

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q3'26July 29, 202610/122 high, 4 medium, 1 low flags41Call sheet →
Q2'26April 29, 20269/123 medium, 3 low flags31Call sheet →
Q1'26February 4, 20269/123 medium, 3 low flags40Call sheet →
Q4'25November 5, 20258/123 medium, 3 low flags50Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q3'26PendingQCT handset revenues approximately $4.9B in Q3
Q3 guidance of $5.2B for Q4 suggests they hit this
Q3'26Missed20% share assumption at Apple
Now 'materially lower' due to supply constraints
Q3'26ExceededAutomotive exit run rate above $6B
Raised to $7B exit run rate
Q3'26ExceededShare more details on data center at June Investor Day
Not only shared details but announced revenue targets and customer wins
Q3'26DeliveredInitial data center shipments later this calendar year
December quarter shipments confirmed with POs in hand
Q3'26DeliveredChina Android bottoming in Q3 with return to sequential growth in Q4
Called the bottom correctly; Q4 showing double-digit sequential growth as promised
Q2'26DeliveredData center customer traction and engagement
Delivered with specific hyperscaler win and December shipment timeline - converted from narrative to binder
Q2'26DeliveredAutomotive revenue growth acceleration
Accelerated from 15% to 38% YoY growth, raised exit run rate target substantially
Q2'26ExceededSamsung share framework of greater than 70%
Upgraded to approximately 75% for upcoming devices - delivered above framework
Q2'26PendingChina Android inventory drawdown to be temporary
Now specifically calling Q3 as bottom with Q4 growth - more precise timeline provided
Q2'26MissedMemory shortage expected to be temporary, return to prior run rate when conditions normalize
Extended timeline to 'whole fiscal year' impact - conditions got worse, not better
Q2'26PendingWe expect 2027 to start showing in [data center] revenues
Still on track with December hyperscaler shipments - moved closer to delivery but still early
Q1'26PendingUpdate on data center roadmap in first half of 2026
Reconfirmed timeline for investor event with roadmap details
Q1'26ExceededQCT operating margins of 30% long-term target
Delivered 31% EBT margin, above 30% target despite investments
Q1'26DeliveredSamsung Galaxy ~75% share assumption as baseline
Maintained 75% expectation for upcoming Galaxy family, consistent with guidance
Q1'26ExceededData center products to start leading to revenue ramp beginning in fiscal '28
Pulled timeline forward to fiscal '27 due to HUMAIN engagement progress
Q1'26Pending150 Snapdragon-powered PC designs to be commercialized through 2026
Reaffirmed timeline with 18 designs debuted at CES, tracking to target
Q1'26DeliveredExpect to close our Alphawave acquisition in the first calendar quarter of '26
Completed Alpha Wave SEMI acquisition as promised, adding high-speed connectivity for data centers
Q4'25DeliveredBMW ADAS launch later this year
BMW iX3 launched with Snapdragon Ride Pilot as promised
Q4'25PendingAdvanced discussions with leading hyperscaler
Details pushed to first half 2026 roadmap update - timeline extended
Q4'25ExceededData center revenues to begin in fiscal '28 timeframe
Pulled forward to fiscal '27 due to HUMAIN and accelerator progress
Q4'25ExceededQCT automotive revenues to grow approximately 35% in FY25
Delivered 36% growth vs 35% target
Q4'25ExceededQCT IoT revenues to grow approximately 20% in FY25
Delivered 22% growth vs 20% target
Q4'25ExceededMore than 100 PC designs through 2026
Upgraded to approximately 150 designs - 50% increase in pipeline
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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