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Management credibility scorecard

Martin Marietta Materials (MLM)

3 quarters tracked (Q4'25 to Q2'26) · latest call July 30, 2026
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69%
Kept of 16 resolved
11
Kept or exceeded
5
Missed
2
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · flat

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q2'26July 30, 20264/122 high, 3 medium, 1 low flags14Call sheet →
Q1'26April 30, 202611/127 low flags50Call sheet →
Q4'25February 11, 202611/121 medium, 5 low flags51Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q2'26MissedNetwork optimization update at half-year
Vaguely mentioned benefits but no specific metrics provided
Q2'26MissedUpdate guidance at mid-year for New Frontier
Did not include NFM in updated guidance despite closing
Q2'26DeliveredNew Frontier closing in second half
Closed in May as promised
Q2'26PendingGreater realization of mid-year increases than last year
Walked back to historical 25% realization rate in Q2 commentary
Q2'26MissedOrganic COGS per ton below 3% for the year
Q2 at 3.6% despite claiming network optimization benefits
Q2'26MissedDiesel impact of $36M in aggregates for the year
Now saying $50M company-wide, a 39% increase from Q1 guidance
Q1'26DeliveredPremier Magnesia integration and margin improvement
Contributing to record specialties performance, integration on track
Q1'26ExceededNetwork optimization benefits from pilot regions
Pilot delivered declining COGS per ton despite restructuring charges
Q1'26ExceededLow single-digit shipment growth guidance
Q1 organic growth of 7.2% meaningfully exceeded guidance range
Q1'26PendingMid-single-digit pricing improvement for 2026
On track with broader midyear increases planned beyond historical scope
Q1'26DeliveredFull year 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance of $2.43B at midpoint
Reaffirmed guidance despite diesel headwinds and geographic mix challenges
Q1'26DeliveredQuikrete Asset Exchange closing in Q1 2026
Closed February 23, delivered $450M cash proceeds and largest aggregates acquisition
Q4'25DeliveredApproximately 30% reduction in 2026 CapEx
Guided to $575M, down 29% from 2025 levels
Q4'25DeliveredNetwork optimization benefits from pilot regions
Pilot showed declining cost per ton YoY, now expanding company-wide
Q4'25MissedQUIKRETE closing in Q4 2025
Now expected Q1 2026 due to real estate complexities in 1031 exchange
Q4'25DeliveredLow single-digit volume growth for 2026
Refined to 2% midpoint, at low end of range but delivered on framework
Q4'25ExceededPrice-cost spread target of 200 bps for SOAR 2025
Achieved 208 bps over 5-year period, exceeding target
Q4'25ExceededFull year 2025 consolidated adjusted EBITDA guidance raised to $2.32B
Delivered $2.49B including discontinued ops, beat their own raised guidance
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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