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Management credibility scorecard

Robinhood Markets (HOOD)

3 quarters tracked (Q4'25 to Q2'26) · latest call July 29, 2026
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94%
Kept of 18 resolved
17
Kept or exceeded
1
Missed
2
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · flat

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q2'26July 29, 20268/121 high, 3 medium, 2 low flags51Call sheet →
Q1'26April 28, 20269/122 medium, 4 low flags60Call sheet →
Q4'25February 10, 202610/123 medium, 3 low flags60Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q2'26DeliveredGenerate $100 m incremental OpEx for Trump accounts
Added $100 m to FY OpEx, as disclosed.
Q2'26MissedAchieve 40% direct‑deposit attach rate for banking
No attach‑rate disclosed in Q2; prior 40% not mentioned, suggesting stagnation or decline.
Q2'26DeliveredRoll out Robinhood Chain and tokenized stock tokens
Chain live with $12 bn DEX volume and multiple stock tokens.
Q2'26PendingDeploy Agentic Trading capabilities (late May)
Version 1 launched later than the May target; version 2 still undefined.
Q2'26DeliveredBreak $3 bn in banking deposits
Banking deposits hit $3 bn in Q2.
Q2'26DeliveredReach 1 m Gold cardholders
Achieved 1 m cardholders in Q2.
Q2'26DeliveredLaunch Trump accounts and deliver a digital brokerage experience for children
Launched in Q2 with 7 m children signed up and ~$1.5 bn contributions.
Q1'26Delivered20%+ net deposit growth target
$18B in Q1 continues 20%+ annualized growth trajectory
Q1'26DeliveredProduct velocity acceleration in 2026
Multiple launches: Social, Banking expansion, Cortex rollout, Trump Accounts
Q1'26DeliveredISAs launch in UK as top customer request
Launched just as promised for UK customers
Q1'26PendingRothera JV with Susquehanna coming mid-2026
Now targeting Q2 launch, consistent with prior guidance
Q1'26DeliveredBitstamp volumes scaling, up 2x since acquisition close
Continue to reference market share gains and institutional growth
Q1'26DeliveredBanking rollout in past few months with strong early results
Grew from 25K to 125K customers, 40% direct deposit rate shows traction
Q1'26ExceededGold Card well over 1 million customers by end of 2025
Reached 800K in Q1 2026, on track for 1M+ this year - ahead of schedule
Q4'25ExceededAI customer support scaling
75%+ of cases now solved by AI, including complex licensed cases
Q4'25DeliveredInternational expansion progress
750K international customers, ISAs launched in UK
Q4'25ExceededPrediction markets continuing momentum
$300M+ run rate, fastest growing business in history
Q4'25ExceededGold Card acceleration
Reached 600K customers, 5x growth YoY, ahead of plan
Q4'25DeliveredBanking rollout to begin in past few months
25K+ funded customers with $400M+ in balances
Q4'25ExceededBitstamp volumes continuing to scale
Volumes up 2x since June acquisition, ahead of expectations
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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