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Management credibility scorecard

HEICO (HEI)

5 quarters tracked (Q3'25 to Q3'26) · latest call August 26, 2026
Get the next HEI call sheet
95%
Kept of 21 resolved
20
Kept or exceeded
1
Missed
4
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · structural change

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q3'26August 26, 20268/122 medium, 2 low flags00Call sheet →
Q2'26May 28, 20267/122 high, 3 medium, 1 low flags40Call sheet →
Q1'26February 26, 20267/124 medium, 3 low flags51Call sheet →
Q4'25December 19, 20258/121 medium, 7 low flags60Call sheet →
Q3'252025-08-2611/121 medium, 5 low flags50Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q2'26PendingETG full year margins 22-24%
On track at 23.2% for H1, but Q2 surge may not repeat
Q2'26DeliveredFSG margins in 24-26% range
Hit 26.2% but included 60bp one-time benefit
Q2'26DeliveredMaintain disciplined acquisition approach
Completed 4 deals while keeping leverage below 1.8x
Q2'26PendingEthos acquisition to be accretive within a year
Just closed in Q1, too early to assess
Q2'26DeliveredContinued sales momentum in both FSG and ETG
FSG +21% and ETG +34% growth clearly delivered
Q2'26ExceededETG margins to improve as year progresses, particularly in second half
Delivered 26.5% GAAP margin in Q2 vs 19.8% in Q1, massive beat
Q1'26ExceededContinue pursuing selective acquisition opportunities (Q4)
Completed multiple acquisitions and have more pending, teams described as 'busier than ever.'
Q1'26DeliveredAnticipate both Ethos acquisitions should close in Q1 calendar '26 (Q4)
Ethos closed in February, other acquisition expected to close in Q2 fiscal '26.
Q1'26DeliveredOnly pursue acquisitions meeting strict financial and strategic criteria (Q4)
Completed three acquisitions in Q1, all described as accretive and strategic fits.
Q1'26DeliveredDisciplined financial management focused on long-term shareholder value (Q4)
Maintained leverage at 1.79x, continued dividend payments, completed accretive acquisitions.
Q1'26DeliveredContinue net sales growth across both segments driven by organic growth (Q4)
FSG up 15%, ETG up 12%, both with solid organic components of 12% and 6% respectively.
Q1'26MissedETG margins expected to be in 22% to 24% GAAP range (Q4 guidance)
Q1 came in at 19.8%, well below guidance range. Victor blamed mix but acknowledged dissatisfaction.
Q4'25PendingPMA development 'consistent with historical levels' around 500 parts
Management stopped giving specific numbers, only said 'consistent' without quantifying
Q4'25DeliveredCash generation funding organic growth without debt
Cash from operations 130% of net income, deleveraged while acquiring
Q4'25Exceeded15-20% net income growth aspirational target
Net income up 35% YoY, well above aspirational range
Q4'25DeliveredDefense business meaningful expansion from pipeline
Specialty products defense grew, missile defense showing 'very significant growth'
Q4'25ExceededStrong acquisition pipeline under evaluation
Completed 5 acquisitions in fiscal 2025, announced 2 more for Q1 2026
Q4'25DeliveredContinued margin expansion opportunities
FSG maintained 24%+ margins, ETG EBITA margins expanded to 27.3%
Q4'25ExceededNet sales growth across both FSG and ETG segments driven by organic growth
FSG hit 16% organic (vs 13% Q3), ETG organic improved across most products
Q3'25DeliveredFocus on identifying complementary acquisition opportunities
Completed Gables acquisition in July, described as strategic fit
Q3'25DeliveredStrong cash generation to support future acquisitions
Operating cash flow $231M, 130% of net income
Q3'25DeliveredContinued net sales growth across both FSG and ETG segments
FSG 18%, ETG 10% growth achieved
Q3'25PendingGables expected to be accretive within first year
Only one month of ownership, too early to assess
Q3'25ExceededOther electronics optimistic for remainder of 2025 after destocking
16% organic growth vs mid-single digit expectation
Q3'25DeliveredETG defense expected to be robust during second half with significant backlogs
Defense organic up 6%+ and record backlog maintained
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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