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Management credibility scorecard

Freeport-McMoRan (FCX)

2 quarters tracked (Q1'26 to Q2'26) · latest call July 23, 2026
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50%
Kept of 8 resolved - limited history
4
Kept or exceeded
4
Missed
4
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · flat

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q2'26July 23, 20268/121 high, 3 medium, 2 low flags40Call sheet →
Q1'26April 23, 20267/124 medium, 2 low flags04Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q2'26DeliveredReturn 50% of available cash to shareholders
$600M returned in H1 including ~$200M in buybacks
Q2'26DeliveredSubmit El Abra environmental impact statement in March
Filed in March as promised
Q2'26DeliveredAchieve stable production at Cerro Verde
Q1 disruptions resolved, production stabilized
Q2'26PendingComplete insurance recovery of $700M in Q2
Expect to collect proceeds during Q2, not confirmed yet
Q2'26PendingTarget 60,000 tons/day from Grasberg in H2 2026
On track, exited June at 69,000 tons/day
Q2'26DeliveredGrasberg restart to commence in March 2026
Actually started slightly ahead of schedule in March
Q1'26Missed$1.75 unit costs for 2026
Revised up to $1.95 due to diesel costs and lower Grasberg volumes
Q1'26PendingBaghdad expansion investment decision first half 2026
Still on track but autonomous performance issues creating additional considerations
Q1'26Missed85% of Grasberg production restored in second half 2026
Will be significantly less due to 40% reduction in daily capacity
Q1'26MissedUS unit costs trending toward $2.50 by 2027
Now under review due to diesel and other input cost volatility
Q1'26PendingLeach initiative scaling to 400M pounds in 2026-2027 timeframe
Still targeting but supply chain challenges emerging for next-gen additives
Q1'26MissedGrasberg restart second quarter 2026 at 100,000 tonnes/day
Revised down to 60,000 tonnes/day due to material handling constraints
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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