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Management credibility scorecard

Energy Transfer (ET)

4 quarters tracked (Q3'25 to Q2'26) · latest call August 4, 2026
Get the next ET call sheet
87%
Kept of 15 resolved
13
Kept or exceeded
2
Missed
10
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · diluter

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q2'26August 4, 20269/123 medium flags10Call sheet →
Q1'26May 5, 202611/123 medium, 6 low flags60Call sheet →
Q4'25February 17, 202610/124 medium, 2 low flags41Call sheet →
Q3'25November 6, 202511/124 medium, 2 low flags21Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q2'26PendingDesert Southwest: file formal FERC certificate application in Q4 2026
Not specifically re-addressed this quarter beyond general progress commentary ('a little ahead of our expectations on survey permission'); the FERC filing timeline itself was not reconfirmed or denied.
Q2'26PendingMustang Draw 2 (275 MMcf/d) in service Q4 2026
Reaffirmed this quarter for Q4 2026 in-service, period has not yet ended.
Q2'26PendingFGT South Florida project: ~90%+ chance customers exercise options within 30-60 days of the Q1 call, enabling full FID
The 30-60 day window from the Q1 call should have resolved before this call, but the project was not mentioned at all this quarter; actual not stated on the call.
Q2'26PendingDAPL/MLO2: expect to take FID by mid-2026, and separately 'reaching FID later this year'
The prior call contained both mid-2026 and later-this-year language. Current cited passages do not announce FID or a new date. Resolve against issuer and partner disclosures before classifying the outcome.
Q2'26DeliveredMustang Draw 1 (275 MMcf/d) in full service 'next month'
Mustang Draw 1 was placed into service in June, consistent with the 'next month' guide given on the Q1 call.
Q2'26PendingHugh Brinson Phase 1 in service Q4 2026, with ability to begin flowing some gas early Q3 2026 if on schedule
Commercial service has started, consistent with the prior early-flow possibility. Full Phase 1 capability is now forecast by September 1, but the cited statement does not confirm that final milestone has been delivered.
Q1'26DeliveredFGT open seasons completion
Completed open seasons for Phase 9 and South Florida projects with binding agreements
Q1'26DeliveredDesert Southwest FERC prefiling process in March 2026
Transwestern initiated FERC prefiling in March as scheduled
Q1'26PendingOracle data center connections by mid-2026
First connection flowing, two more expected mid-2026 as planned
Q1'26Exceeded2026 adjusted EBITDA $17.45-17.85B
Raised guidance to $18.2-18.6B based on Q1 outperformance
Q1'26DeliveredNederland Flexport NGL export ramp-up
Record export volumes achieved in Q1 2026 as promised
Q1'26DeliveredMustang Draw I in service Q2 2026
Currently commissioning with full service expected next month - on track
Q1'26ExceededHugh Brinson Phase 1 in service Q4 2026 with possible early volumes
Now expect early Q3 flows ahead of Q4 full service - ahead of schedule
Q4'25MissedLake Charles LNG FID dependent on equity partners and binding offtake
Project suspended instead of reaching FID - complete abandonment of timeline
Q4'25DeliveredOracle data center first flow by end of year
Recently began flowing gas on first pipeline lateral near Abilene, Texas
Q4'25ExceededHugh Brinson Phase 1 no later than Q4 2026
Now 75% complete and potential for early volumes before Q4 2026
Q4'25ExceededDesert Southwest 1.5 Bcf/day fully contracted
Not only fully contracted but upsized to 2.3 Bcf/day at 48-inch diameter
Q4'25PendingMustang Draw plant in service Q2 2026
Reaffirmed Q2 2026 timeline, no change from prior guidance
Q4'25DeliveredFlexport NGL export project volumes expected to ramp throughout remainder of 2025
Achieved record exports and first ethylene cargoes in December 2025
Q3'25PendingBadger processing plant to be at full capacity in next few months
Plant in service and ramping up as expected from Q2 guidance
Q3'25Missed$5 billion organic growth CapEx guidance for 2025
Reduced to $4.6B due to project deferrals into 2026, though not execution issues
Q3'25PendingWe expect to sell equity in Lake Charles to reduce ET ownership to approximately 25%
Now hardened to requirement for 80% equity partners before FID - more stringent than originally indicated
Q3'25ExceededFlexport NGL Export project to provide ethylene export services in Q4 2024
Facility now ready for ethylene export service ahead of original timeline
Q3'25PendingHugh Brinson Phase 1 expected to be in service no later than Q4 2026
Still on track, 100% right-of-way acquired, 85%+ pipe delivered, construction underway on all spreads
Q3'25DeliveredDesert Southwest capacity to be completely sold out upon completion of open season
Project now 100% contracted under 25-year commitments as promised
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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