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Management credibility scorecard

Equinix (EQIX)

3 quarters tracked (Q4'25 to Q2'26) · latest call July 29, 2026
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85%
Kept of 13 resolved
11
Kept or exceeded
2
Missed
5
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · flat

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q2'26July 29, 20266/122 high, 4 medium, 3 low flags20Call sheet →
Q1'26April 29, 20269/121 high, 2 medium, 5 low flags41Call sheet →
Q4'25February 11, 202611/123 medium, 5 low flags51Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q2'26PendingAccelerate cabinet delivery - double H2 deliveries
Commitment made Q2; execution to be observed in Q3‑Q4.
Q2'26PendingProvide 70% of 2026 retail capacity expansion sold
Management said 30% of remaining capacity sold; not the 70% target.
Q2'26PendingAchieve 53%+ adjusted EBITDA margin by 2029
Current margin 53% in Q2; trajectory plausible.
Q2'26PendingDeliver mid‑20% cash‑on‑cash returns on growth capex
No project‑level returns disclosed yet; future quarters needed.
Q2'26DeliveredRaise 2026 revenue guidance (first raise in company history)
Guidance lifted to 11‑12% after Q2 performance.
Q2'26DeliveredMaintain churn at the low end of 2‑2.5% for the full year
Q2 churn 1.8% is below the stated range.
Q1'26DeliveredContinue to drive attractive MRR per cabinet yields
Hit $2,524, up 7% YoY with $65 sequential increase
Q1'26Delivered2026 adjusted EBITDA margins of approximately 51%
Q1 delivered 51% margins as promised
Q1'26ExceededMRR churn anticipated to remain within 2% to 2.5% range
Delivered 1.7% but management explicitly cautioned about timing benefits and not calling victory early
Q1'26DeliveredMonthly recurring revenue to grow between 8-10% for 2026
Q1 came in at 10%, hitting high end of guidance range
Q1'26PendingWe expect xScale will continue to contribute to NRR over the next several years
Still claiming future contribution but timing continues to slip on individual deals
Q1'26MissedHampton ExScale lease signing expected in Q1 2026
Deal slipped to Q2 with expanded terms but no explanation for delay or economics change
Q4'25ExceededStrong pipeline conversion and bookings momentum
49% conversion rate in Q4, record $474M bookings vs previous $394M
Q4'25ExceededAccelerated capacity delivery ahead of schedule
Delivered 30% of retail capacity ahead of schedule, up from 20% mentioned in Q3
Q4'25DeliveredMRR churn within 2%-2.5% quarterly guidance range
Q4 churn 2.2%, within range and improving from 2.3% in Q3
Q4'25DeliveredContinue to deliver improved adjusted EBITDA margins
Guided 51% for 2026, up 200 bps from 49% in 2025
Q4'25ExceededStrong Q4 bookings targets and building momentum for 2026
Delivered $474M vs $394M in Q3, already booked 45% of Q1 2026 target
Q4'25MissedLate-stage negotiations for entire Hampton campus lease
Slipped from Q4 to Q1, though they maintained lease will happen and described as 'fluid timing'
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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