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Management credibility scorecard

Brinker International (EAT)

6 quarters tracked (Q3'25 to Q4'26) · latest call August 12, 2026
Get the next EAT call sheet
88%
Kept of 25 resolved
22
Kept or exceeded
3
Missed
11
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · reducer

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q4'26August 12, 20267/121 high, 4 medium, 2 low flags31Call sheet →
Q3'262026-04-299/123 medium, 3 low flags10Call sheet →
Q2'262026-01-2810/121 medium, 5 low flags50Call sheet →
Q1'262025-10-2910/122 medium, 4 low flags22Call sheet →
Q4'25August 13, 202510/121 medium, 5 low flags50Call sheet →
Q3'252025-04-2912/123 medium, 5 low flags60Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q4'26DeliveredVery confident... we're going to grow our margins year-over-year at 30 to 40 basis points
Full-year restaurant operating margin improvement came in at +30 basis points, the low end of the stated range.
Q4'26DeliveredWe remain confident we will lap the fourth quarter with mid-single-digit sales and positive traffic at Chili's
Chili's Q4 comp came in at +5.6% with positive traffic of +1.5%, consistent with mid-single-digit guidance.
Q4'26DeliveredWe are planning to call our $350 million 8.25% bonds early in fiscal 2027 using the liquidity of our $1 billion revolver
Confirmed executed: 'Subsequent to year end, we redeemed our outstanding $350 million 8.25% bonds using the liquidity on our $1 billion revolver'.
Q4'26MissedWe plan to complete another 8 to 10 reimages during the remainder of this fiscal year
Combined with the 4 already done at the time of that promise, total expected was ~12-14; actual completed for FY26 was 11, below the implied range.
Q3'26PendingRestaurant margin improvement 30-40 basis points for fiscal year
Still confident despite Q3 margin pressure
Q3'26PendingPositive traffic in Q4
Early Q4 showing positive traffic with sandwich launch
Q3'26PendingMid-single-digit same-store sales for back half of year
Tracking ahead with April mid-single-digit growth despite weather
Q3'26Pending60-80 reimages during fiscal 2027
Reconfirmed commitment from prior quarter
Q3'26PendingComplete another 8-10 reimages during remainder of fiscal year
Reiterated same commitment, 3 months remaining
Q3'26DeliveredChicken sandwich platform launch chain-wide in April with substantial advertising campaign
Launched April 14 as promised with Better Than Fast Food campaign
Q2'26PendingMaggiano's stabilization through back to Maggiano's strategy
Sequential improvement shown but still negative comps, longer timeline needed
Q2'26ExceededBack half innovation ready for Q3 launch in Q4
Actually accelerated chicken sandwich to April vs Q4 original plan
Q2'26ExceededContinue outperforming industry on sales and traffic
680 bps outperformance vs casual dining industry
Q2'26DeliveredChili's same-store sales normalize in mid-single digit range
8.6% comp vs mid-single digit guidance, tracking as expected
Q2'26DeliveredQ2 biggest advertising increase year-over-year
2.9% of sales, up 40 bps as projected
Q2'26DeliveredFirst 4 reimage pilots completed by end of Q1
Completed as promised, now have learnings on cost optimization
Q1'26DeliveredQueso and nacho upgrades in Q2
Launched but mixed reception forcing return of original Skillet Queso
Q1'26DeliveredFull year impact of ribs upgrade
35% sales increase with improved profitability exceeding expectations
Q1'26Pending4 remodel pilots by end of calendar year
On track for completion, will provide read on program effectiveness
Q1'26MissedCommodity inflation in low single digits
Now expecting mid-single digits including tariff impact
Q1'26MissedRestaurant margin expansion of 30-40 basis points
Walked back to flat to slightly positive due to Maggiano's and tariffs
Q1'26PendingPositive same-store sales each quarter of fiscal '26
Q1 delivered +21.4%, maintaining confidence for remaining quarters
Q4'25ExceededMaintain 3 For Me value mix discipline
Kept under 18% despite Big QP success, managed down to 7.7% at $10.99 level
Q4'25DeliveredTurboChef ovens installation
Successfully installed in all restaurants, retired CTX and Impinger units
Q4'25DeliveredMaggiano's menu reduction and simplification
Menu reduced 20% over last year, removed 8 items and 17 prep recipes in Q3
Q4'25ExceededContinue improving guest experience metrics
GWAP down to 2.3%, 'never been lower since tracking started'
Q4'25PendingSteak and salad program upgrades in back half of fiscal year
Now pushed to fiscal '27 - clear timeline extension
Q4'25PendingNew queso and nacho upgrades
Now scheduled for beginning of Q2 FY26 - slight delay from original Q1 target
Q4'25DeliveredRibs platform launch in Q1 with significantly upgraded recipe
Launched in July (Q4 end), seeing 20%+ incident increases even without advertising
Q3'25DeliveredContinue debt paydown from $164M in Q2
Paid down $125M in Q3, though at slower pace than Q2
Q3'25DeliveredAdvertising spend to increase in back half of year after being flat in Q2
Q3 advertising at 2.9% vs 2.5% in Q2, Q4 expected at ~3%
Q3'25DeliveredRestaurant margins to moderate from Q2 peak of 19.1%
Mika correctly predicted margin moderation; Q3 came in at 18.9%
Q3'25DeliveredAll-day counters upgrade to KDS systems
Completed system-wide rollout in Q3 as indicated
Q3'25PendingRibs upgrade in Q1 of fiscal 2026
Still on timeline, mentioned as part of Q1 Smokehouse platform relaunch
Q3'25DeliveredFajitas upgrade in Q4 through menu merchandising only, not advertising
Fajitas mentioned as launching in Q4 with operational improvements focus
Q3'25DeliveredBig food innovation news coming in Q4 to bring excitement to the 3 For Me platform... like the tremendously successful Big Smasher
Big QP launched in Q4 as promised and is reportedly outselling Big Smasher at launch
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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