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Management credibility scorecard

Dover (DOV)

3 quarters tracked (Q4'25 to Q2'26) · latest call July 23, 2026
Get the next DOV call sheet
77%
Kept of 13 resolved
10
Kept or exceeded
3
Missed
5
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · flat

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q2'26July 23, 20265/122 high, 3 medium, 1 low flags22Call sheet →
Q1'26April 23, 202612/121 medium, 5 low flags31Call sheet →
Q4'25January 29, 202611/126 low flags50Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q2'26DeliveredLead times for heat exchangers extending with capacity coming online as year progresses
Confirmed extending materially, capacity additions sequentially through H2
Q2'26PendingDriving to top end of guidance range based on order rates
Raised EPS but not revenue guidance, mixed signal
Q2'26MissedMidstream compression pickup beginning in second half
Zero mention on Q2 call, appears to have been quietly dropped
Q2'26PendingIncremental margin in climate segment to be robust in H2 after facility consolidation
Still claiming this but pushed timeline to 'probably by midyear'
Q2'26MissedClimate & sustainability to deliver double-digit organic growth for 2026
Only grew 8% in Q2, massive deceleration from 15% in Q1
Q2'26DeliveredExpect gradual improvement in polymer processing supported by improved quoting activity
Book-to-bill turned positive in Q2, signaling stabilization
Q1'26DeliveredBiopharma tough comp in Q1 2026 due to early 2025 restocking (Q4)
DPS segment declined modestly as expected, lapped the difficult comparison
Q1'26DeliveredSeasonality consistent with recent years - Q1 lowest cash flow (Q4)
Q1 at 6% of revenue vs Q4 at 23%, typical seasonal pattern maintained
Q1'26DeliveredRecovery in refrigerated door cases and services based on Q3 booking exit (Q4)
Significant volume improvements delivered as promised in Q4
Q1'26MissedClimate segment margin inflection from facility consolidation (Q4)
Consolidation delayed due to strong orders, now expected by midyear instead of Q1
Q1'26PendingClean Energy & Fueling margin improvement on volume leverage (Q4)
Margins actually down slightly in Q1 due to mix, back-half loaded improvement expected
Q1'26PendingDouble-digit adjusted EPS growth for full year 2026 (Q4 commitment)
Reaffirmed commitment despite Q1 margin pressure, driving to top end of range
Q4'25PendingClose on 'a couple of things' in M&A over next 12 months
Timeline intact, management reiterates active pipeline and expected 2026 activity
Q4'25DeliveredUpdate on restructuring benefits by Q3 call
Provided specific $40M carryover benefit quantification for 2026
Q4'25DeliveredBiopharma to remain strong in Q4 after restocking concerns
Confirmed consistent demand, not restocking, with solid Q4 performance
Q4'25DeliveredMargin improvement in Q4 despite some mix effects
Segment EBITDA margins up 60 bps to 24.8% despite noted headwinds
Q4'25DeliveredMaterial acceleration in booking rates for refrigeration
Bookings up 25% in Climate & Sustainability, driving Q4 revenue recovery
Q4'25DeliveredQ4 should be highest organic growth quarter of the year
Achieved 5% organic growth, beating Q3's performance as promised
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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