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Management credibility scorecard

Walt Disney (DIS)

5 quarters tracked (Q3'25 to Q3'26) · latest call August 5, 2026
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75%
Kept of 16 resolved
12
Kept or exceeded
4
Missed
10
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · flat

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q3'26August 5, 20263/121 medium, 1 low flags01Call sheet →
Q2'26May 6, 20265/121 high, 5 medium flags12Call sheet →
Q1'26February 2, 20265/121 high, 4 medium, 1 low flags60Call sheet →
Q4'25November 13, 20258/12-30Call sheet →
Q3'25August 6, 20258/124 medium, 2 low flags21Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q3'26MissedInternational visitation headwinds will ease in the coming quarters.
Management now says weakness continues into Q4
Q2'26PendingTechnology improvements reducing churn
New CEO elevated churn to 'single most significant opportunity' - suggests bigger problem than admitted
Q2'26PendingInternational content investment delivering encouraging results
Same 'encouraging' language used again suggests no measurable progress
Q2'26MissedUnified Disney+ Hulu experience delivery
Pushed from mid-year to end of calendar year - timeline slip
Q2'26PendingESPN streaming app launch and adoption
Launched but no adoption metrics provided, just qualitative 'pleased with engagement'
Q2'26MissedDomestic parks attendance improvement
Still down 1% in Q2, now promising Q3 improvement - moved goalposts again
Q2'26DeliveredDouble-digit revenue growth aspiration for streaming
SVOD entertainment revenue grew 13% vs 11% last quarter, accelerating as promised
Q1'26ExceededStrong theatrical slate performance
$6.5B global box office exceeded expectations with three $1B+ films
Q1'26DeliveredTechnology improvements for streaming platforms
Referenced 'continued technology improvements' and product enhancements
Q1'26DeliveredContinued investment in international content
Management confirmed ongoing international content investment
Q1'26DeliveredDisney Destiny cruise ship launch
Ship launched and 'received outstanding reviews from guests'
Q1'26DeliveredBundling would reduce churn rates
Confirmed bundled subscribers 'churn out less' and 80% bundle penetration maintained
Q1'26DeliveredESPN streaming launch would attract new users
Management confirmed signing up 'essentially new users' successfully
Q1'26PendingStreaming business targeted for double-digit margins
No update provided on margin progression despite revenue growth
Q4'25Delivered2 new cruise ships launching - Disney Destiny and Disney Adventure
Both ships launched as promised, fleet now at 8 ships
Q4'25PendingDouble-digit margin target for DTC business
Made progress but Hugh deferred 2026 specifics to Q4 call
Q4'25DeliveredESPN will gain ability to sell and bundle NFL+ Premium starting 2025 season
Confirmed ability to bundle NFL+ Premium with trio bundle
Q4'25PendingExpected higher engagement, lower churn, operational efficiencies from Hulu integration
Too early to measure but early signs positive
Q4'25PendingFully integrating Hulu into Disney+ creating unified app experience available next year
Still on track for 2026 launch, making progress with Hulu as global brand
Q4'25DeliveredESPN direct-to-consumer launching August 21
Launched on time and Iger reports it as 'real success'
Q3'25ExceededAdvertising growth consistent with 3% prior year
Now expect advertising growth in excess of 3%
Q3'25MissedExperiences bookings momentum continuing
Q4 bookings decelerated from 7% to 6%
Q3'25PendingDouble-digit operating income growth for 2026-2027
Hugh confirmed long-term guidance still intact
Q3'25PendingInvestment in international content in targeted markets
Deferred content spend discussion to Q4 call
Q3'25PendingContinued growth in streaming business at accelerated rate
No specific subscriber growth or acceleration metrics provided
Q3'25DeliveredESPN direct-to-consumer pricing and timing details very soon
Revealed August 21 launch and $29.99 bundle pricing
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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