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Management credibility scorecard

Chevron (CVX)

3 quarters tracked (Q4'25 to Q2'26) · latest call July 31, 2026
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100%
Kept of 16 resolved
16
Kept or exceeded
0
Missed
3
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · flat

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q2'26July 31, 202610/121 high, 3 medium, 2 low flags50Call sheet →
Q1'262026-05-0111/123 medium, 3 low flags60Call sheet →
Q4'25January 30, 202611/121 medium, 5 low flags50Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q2'26DeliveredMore to say on Microsoft power deal next call
Announced signed 20-year PPA at 2.67 GW
Q2'26DeliveredUpdate on TCO debottlenecking next call
Provided specific capacity increase from 260k to 320k bbl/d
Q2'26ExceededHess synergies of $1B
$1.5B realized, 50% above target and 6 months early
Q2'26PendingProduction growth of 7-10% in 2026
Q2 up 5% QoQ, on track for full year target
Q2'26DeliveredCapital spending $18-19B for 2026
Tracking to low end at $18B, showing superior capital discipline
Q2'26ExceededAchieve $3B structural cost reduction by year-end 2026
Delivered $3B six months early with 70% from efficiency gains
Q1'26DeliveredMore to say on Microsoft power project next call
Provided FID timeline and definitive agreement status
Q1'26DeliveredWorking capital build in first half, release in second half
Q1 build occurred as predicted
Q1'26ExceededStructural cost reduction momentum to continue toward $3-4B
$2B run-rate achieved vs target, ahead of schedule
Q1'26Pending2026 production growth 7-10% excluding Hess
On track with strong Q1 momentum
Q1'26Delivered$6B TCO free cash flow unchanged despite Q4 issues
Maintained guidance despite Q1 disruptions
Q1'26DeliveredMajority of plant capacity online within coming week of Jan 30
Production resumed and ramped as promised
Q1'26DeliveredTCO full field capacity within February following power issue
Achieved over 1M BOE/day and testing upside capacity
Q4'25PendingTCO performing near original plan
Power outage created temporary issue but full-year 2026 guidance unchanged
Q4'25DeliveredStrong cash generation continuing
Adjusted FCF up 35% year-over-year excluding asset sales
Q4'25DeliveredHess integration on track with synergy realization
Asset performance exceeded expectations, synergies being realized
Q4'25ExceededStructural cost savings program benefits in Q4
Delivered $1.5B vs expectations, $2B run rate achieved
Q4'25DeliveredFull year production growth at top end of 6-8% guidance range excluding Hess
Achieved top end of range through strong execution
Q4'25DeliveredFull year organic CapEx of $17-17.5 billion inclusive of Hess
Came in within guidance range as promised
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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