Crocs (CROX)

Management Credibility Scorecard · 5 quarters tracked (Q1'25 - Q1'26)
Last updated April 30, 2026 · latest call analyzed
77%
Kept of 26 resolved
20
Kept / Exceeded
6
Missed
6
Still Pending

Grade History

QuarterDisclosure QualityFinancial Quality
Q1'25 →C+B
Q2'25 →BB+
Q3'25 →C+C
Q4'25 →B+B+
Q1'26 →B+B

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedPromiseStatus
Q1'26✅Inventory units down high single digits
Maintained discipline with inventory units down high single digits in Q1
delivered
Q1'26⏳$100M cost savings program implementation
Still in progress, benefits flowing but full deployment not yet complete
pending
Q1'26✅HEYDUDE revenue down 7% to 9% for year
Improved guidance to down 5% to 7% based on Q1 outperformance
exceeded
Q1'26✅Enterprise revenue flat to up 2% for 2026
Raised guidance to up 1% to down 1%, better than previous range
exceeded
Q1'26⏳International Crocs growth approximately 10%
Q1 came in at 7% reported, guidance softened to 'high single digits to approaching 10%'
pending
Q1'26✅Adjusted operating margin expand modestly from 22.3% in 2025
Q1 operating margin 22.3%, guidance maintained for modest expansion
delivered
Q1'26⏳Return both brands to growth in back half of 2026
Reiterated for HEYDUDE, Crocs North America still being managed carefully
pending
Q4'25✅Manage inventory tightly
Units down high single digits despite dollar increase from tariffs, turns above 4x target
delivered
Q4'25⏳Return Crocs North America to growth
Still down low double digits in Q4, now positioned as 2026+ objective rather than near-term
pending
Q4'25✅$50M cost savings program to benefit 2025
Management confirmed program executed and contributed to Q4 SG&A improvement
delivered
Q4'25✅International wholesale timing shifts to improve in Q4
International wholesale up 5% in Q4 vs down 7% in Q3 as communicated
delivered
Q4'25❌Majority of HeyDude cleanup to be done during 2025
Management now says cleanup continues into 2026 with 'continued markdown support in Q4' and beyond
missed
Q3'25✅Continue share buybacks and debt paydown
$203M buybacks and $63M debt paydown, though less deleveraging than Q2
delivered
Q3'25✅Maintain inventory turns above 4x
Enterprise inventory turns above 4x goal on annualized basis
delivered
Q3'25❌International growth momentum to continue
Decelerated from 16% to 4% despite China still growing mid-20%
missed
Q3'25✅HEYDUDE wholesale cleanup to improve inventory health
Accelerated returns and markdowns in Q3, sell-in now aligned with inventory levels
exceeded
Q3'25✅$50M cost savings already actioned for 2025
Confirmed savings flowing through Q3 and Q4, balanced across SG&A and gross margin
delivered
Q3'25✅Reduce receipts into wholesale channel to match supply and demand
Inventory units down despite dollar growth from tariffs
delivered
Q3'25✅Pull back on promotional activity to protect brand health
Continued digital discount pullback in Q3, drove gross profit dollars higher despite revenue impact
delivered
Q2'25❌April trends were strong and we felt good about trajectory
Q3 guidance implies significant deterioration from April strength
missed
Q2'25✅Would continue opportunistic share buybacks within leverage range
Repurchased $133M in Q2, up from $61M in Q1
delivered
Q2'25✅International growth would be mid-teens for Crocs
Delivered 16% international growth, ahead of mid-teens expectation
exceeded
Q2'25❌We expected HEYDUDE to continue improving from Q4 trajectory
HEYDUDE revenue declined more than expected, took impairment, and guidance implies significant Q3 deterioration
missed
Q2'25⏳We could shift China sourcing within 6 months for Crocs, 12 months for HEYDUDE
No update provided on sourcing shift progress or timeline
pending
Q2'25✅We would maintain marketing investment levels despite uncertainty
Maintained marketing spend net of $50M cost savings, though pulled back performance marketing for HEYDUDE
delivered
Q1'25✅Capital allocation unchanged - debt paydown and opportunistic buybacks
$61M repurchases in Q1, stayed within 1-1.5x leverage target
delivered
Q1'25✅10 additional HEYDUDE premium outlet stores in 2025
Confirmed in Q1 call, on track with plan
delivered
Q1'25⏳Adjusted operating margin approximately 24% for full year
Q1 delivered 23.8% but guidance withdrawn, commitment maintained 'at or above 24%'
pending
Q1'25✅Crocs international growth up approximately 10%
Q1 international up 12%, China accelerated to 30%+ from 25%
exceeded
Q1'25✅HEYDUDE DTC growth from improving digital trends
8% growth accelerated from 7% in Q4, though muted in communication
delivered
Q1'25❌Enterprise revenue growth up 3.5-4% constant currency 2025
Withdrew all guidance claiming tariff uncertainty despite having modeled scenarios
missed
Q1'25❌Mid-teens SG&A growth first half, low-single-digit second half
Instead implemented $50M emergency cost cuts - complete reversal of investment plan
missed
Get the next CROX call sheet the day it drops.
Subscribe to Call Sheet Daily →
Every missed promise →  ·  Metrics that vanished →  ·  All credibility pages →
About Research ↗ · Credibility Index · Missed Promises · Screens · 13F Holdings · Subscribe
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Grades, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.