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Management credibility scorecard

Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF)

1 quarters tracked (Q3'26 to Q3'26) · latest call October 19, 2026
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50%
Kept of 4 resolved - limited history
2
Kept or exceeded
2
Missed
2
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · diluter

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q3'26October 19, 20268/124 medium flags22Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q3'26PendingExpect to hit leverage target of sub-2.5x by this time next year
Period has not ended. Management reaffirmed and slightly tightened the language to 'by the middle of next year', but this is a revision, not a resolution.
Q3'26PendingBulk of the $400 million proceeds from property sales expected in the second half of 2026, all under contract
One small sale closed in Q3. Major properties are contracted for Q4 and some buyers received extensions. H2 remains open.
Q3'26ExceededExpect a $10 per ton reduction in costs into Q3
Actual cost decline was $17 per ton, 70% ahead of guide.
Q3'26MissedExpect average price to increase another $55 per ton in Q3
Actual increase was $53 per ton; management characterized it as 'right in line' but it is technically below guide.
Q3'26MissedExpect steel shipment volumes above 4.3 million tons in Q3
Actual shipments were 4.2 million tons, below the guided floor.
Q3'26ExceededQ3 2026 adjusted EBITDA guide of approximately $575 million
Actual came in at $612 million, a $37M beat.
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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