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Management credibility scorecard

Chewy (CHWY)

3 quarters tracked (Q3'25 to Q1'26) · latest call June 10, 2026
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100%
Kept of 11 resolved
11
Kept or exceeded
0
Missed
8
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · flat

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q1'26June 10, 20269/121 high, 3 medium, 3 low flags20Call sheet →
Q4'25March 25, 202610/123 medium, 5 low flags60Call sheet →
Q3'252025-12-108/124 medium, 3 low flags30Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q1'26Pending10-12 new CVC clinic openings in fiscal 2026
Maintained this target even after Modern Animal acquisition
Q1'26DeliveredSmartPak $80M revenue contribution in 2026
Performance described as 'in line with expectations'
Q1'26Delivered150k-250k net customer additions per quarter
Q1 delivered ~200k, but now guiding to low end of range
Q1'26Pending10% adjusted EBITDA margin target over time
Still targeting this long-term, currently at 7.5%
Q1'26Pending$50 million or more in AI savings by 2027
Reconfirmed the target when directly asked
Q1'26PendingAI-driven efficiencies to contribute low tens of millions in fiscal 2026
Confirmed the same target, no update on progress
Q4'25Exceeded80% EBITDA to FCF conversion
Generated record $562M FCF on strong working capital management
Q4'25DeliveredChewy+ raised pricing to $79 by Q4
Implemented end of October with conversion holding better than expected
Q4'25Delivered$18-20M investment in pricing/fresh/inventory
Actual spend was 'low to mid-single digit millions' - came in well under budget
Q4'25DeliveredContinued marketing efficiency improvements
30bps FY leverage driven by app growth and direct traffic improvements
Q4'25DeliveredSG&A leverage returning in Q4 as Houston scales
Achieved 20bps Q4 SG&A leverage as automated facility ramped
Q4'25Exceeded8-10 CVC locations opening in FY2025
Delivered 10 new locations, hitting high-end of range with 18 total
Q3'25ExceededCapEx at low end of 1.5-2% of net sales range
Now expecting 1.3%, below the entire prior range
Q3'25Pending60% of EBITDA margin expansion from gross margin improvements
Reaffirmed this split between gross margin and OpEx leverage
Q3'25DeliveredConvert approximately 80% of adjusted EBITDA to free cash flow in 2025
Reaffirmed this target, Q3 FCF performance supports it
Q3'25PendingDeliver modest SG&A leverage in fiscal year 2025
Still expecting back-half leverage after first half deleverage
Q3'25PendingGet Real national footprint with majority of customers within 1-day transit by end 2025
Reaffirmed this timeline, no update on current coverage
Q3'25DeliveredChewy+ to reach mid-single-digit percentage of net sales by exit 2025
Already hit 3% in July, tracking ahead of target
Q3'25PendingCVC network to reach approaching 20 locations by year-end 2025
Currently at 14, tracking toward 16-18 range, slightly below original 20 target
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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