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Management credibility scorecard

Celsius Holdings (CELH)

4 quarters tracked (Q3'25 to Q2'26) · latest call August 6, 2026
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100%
Kept of 10 resolved
10
Kept or exceeded
0
Missed
10
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · diluter

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q2'26August 6, 20266/121 high, 3 medium, 2 low flags10Call sheet →
Q1'26May 7, 20268/122 medium, 4 low flags40Call sheet →
Q4'25February 26, 20265/121 high, 3 medium, 2 low flags00Call sheet →
Q3'25November 6, 20257/123 medium, 3 low flags50Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q2'26PendingAchieve ~17% shelf‑space gain for Celsius (CAGNY)
Space gains lagged; still being realized in Q3
Q2'26DeliveredComplete Rockstar integration by June 2026 (nine‑month timeline)
Management confirmed integration completed in June
Q1'26DeliveredMore intentional innovation and LTO cadence in 2026
Electric Vibe launched, summer CELSIUS LTO planned, Lime Slush performed well for Alani
Q1'26DeliveredCELSIUS fizz-free platform expansion
Now broadly distributed nationally though still early on items per store penetration
Q1'26ExceededSubstantial distribution gains for Alani in convenience channel
Delivered 100%+ space gains vs 17% for CELSIUS, convenience was major driver
Q1'26PendingGross margins return to low 50s profile across 2026
Added hedging language about aluminum costs impacting 'timing and sequencing' of margin recovery
Q1'26PendingRockstar integration completed in first half of 2026
Still on track but now calling 2026 a 'stabilization year' vs previous growth expectations
Q1'26DeliveredAlani integration completed by end of Q1 2026
Management confirmed integration complete and $50M synergies captured as targeted
Q4'25PendingCanadian portion transition to finished goods model in first half 2026
Lagging timeline for Canadian operations
Q4'25PendingU.S. portion of Rockstar to transition to finished goods model in Q1
New specific timeline for accounting normalization
Q4'25PendingGross margins in the low 50s driven by savings initiatives
Specific target given, offset by tariff and aluminum cost hedging
Q4'25PendingMargins to expand across 2026 and return to normalized profile
New promise, more specific than Q3's 'over time' language
Q4'25PendingRockstar integration to be completed in first half of 2026
Same timeline as Q3, no acceleration despite progress
Q4'25PendingWe continue to expect the Alani implementation and integration to be completed by the end of the first quarter of 2026
Carried forward same timeline from Q3, on track according to management
Q3'25DeliveredMaintained gross margins above 50%
Achieved 51.3% despite pressure from tariffs and mix
Q3'25DeliveredInternational expansion continuation
27% growth with Australia exceeding expectations
Q3'25DeliveredLive Fit Go campaign impact
Management cited campaign driving trial and repeat purchase
Q3'25DeliveredCelsius brand momentum recovery
Scanner growth accelerated to 13% from slow start in Q1/Q2
Q3'25DeliveredAlani gross margin improvements
Confirmed margin improvements from cost efficiencies and product mix
Q3'25PendingAchieve $50 million of run rate cost synergies over 2 years post-closing (Alani)
Mentioned 'capturing early synergies' but no progress update on $50M target
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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