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Management credibility scorecard

Align Technology (ALGN)

3 quarters tracked (Q4'25 to Q2'26) · latest call July 29, 2026
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100%
Kept of 11 resolved
11
Kept or exceeded
0
Missed
9
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · accretor

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q2'26July 29, 20264/122 high, 4 medium flags10Call sheet →
Q1'26April 29, 20269/122 medium, 4 low flags50Call sheet →
Q4'25February 4, 202611/121 medium, 5 low flags50Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q2'26PartialQ1: “Zero‑AA pilot in DSOs, early stage.”
Q2 says rollout is “modest” with no volume; still early, not the broad adoption suggested.
Q2'26PartialQ1: “Direct‑Fab limited‑market releases in Q1.”
Q2 mentions Direct‑Fab in margin target but no further release details; rollout appears slower than implied.
Q2'26ExceededQ1: “Share repurchase $200 M completed, another $200 M planned.”
Q2 call confirms $133 M already repurchased through Oct 2026 and plans up to $500 M FY.
Q2'26On‑trackQ1: “Capital expenditures $125‑$150 M FY2026 for technology upgrades.”
No Q2 spend disclosed yet, but commitment remains.
Q2'26PendingQ1: “Patient financing live in >4,000 offices, strong adoption.”
Q2 provides only qualitative “gain traction” language; no conversion lift disclosed.
Q2'26PendingQ1: “DSO volumes grew double‑digit across all regions, ~25% of total volume.”
Q2 call omitted any DSO growth rate; management only said “stable.” No data to confirm delivery.
Q1'26ExceededDirect fab limited market release of retainers/attachments in 2026
Already began limited release in Q1, ahead of schedule
Q1'26PendingNOAA rollout to be 'pretty much lined out' by end Q1/start Q2
Now saying 'still early' and timeline extends into Q2 for APAC
Q1'26DeliveredSystems revenue down sequentially in Q1 consistent with seasonality
Down from $209M to $184M as expected
Q1'26ExceededQ1 2026 non-GAAP operating margin ~19.5%
Delivered 21.5%, 200bps above guidance
Q1'26DeliveredQ1 2026 worldwide revenue $1.01-1.03B
Delivered $1.041B, above midpoint of range
Q1'26DeliveredQ1 2026 Clear Aligner volume up mid-single digits YoY
Delivered 6.7% growth, within mid-single digit range
Q4'25PendingAt least 100bps operating margin improvement in 2026
Reiterated and specified as 23.7% non-GAAP target
Q4'25PendingInvisalign Direct retainers and attachments in 2026
Confirmed on track for limited market release
Q4'25DeliveredClinCheck Live Plan rollout in limited markets
Launched with 15-minute treatment planning capability
Q4'25Delivered2025 non-GAAP operating margin slightly above 22.5%
Full year 2025 was 22.7%
Q4'25Pending2025 GAAP operating margin around 13.6-13.8%
Need full year calculation, Q4 was 14.8%
Q4'25ExceededQ4 non-GAAP operating margin approximately 26%
Delivered 26.1%, slightly above target
Q4'25DeliveredQ4 Clear Aligner volume and ASP up sequentially
Volume up 4.5% sequential, ASP up $5 to $1,240
Q4'25ExceededQ4 2025 revenues $1.025-1.045B
Delivered $1.048B, above high end of range
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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