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Management credibility scorecard

American Electric Power (AEP)

3 quarters tracked (Q4'25 to Q2'26) · latest call July 30, 2026
Get the next AEP call sheet
73%
Kept of 11 resolved
8
Kept or exceeded
3
Missed
9
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · flat

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q2'26July 30, 20268/121 high, 3 medium, 2 low flags21Call sheet →
Q1'26May 5, 20269/123 medium, 2 low flags50Call sheet →
Q4'25February 12, 20269/123 medium, 3 low flags12Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q2'26Pending9.5% earned ROE by 2030
Actually declined to 9.2% this quarter from 9.3% in Q1
Q2'26PendingPiketon project advancement
Still 'working towards' agreements, no material progress
Q2'26PendingMaintain 14-15% FFO to debt
Still claiming on track but no specific metrics this quarter
Q2'26Exceeded$72B capital plan
Raised to $78B with transmission and generation additions
Q2'26Exceeded63 GW contracted load by 2030
Now at 69 GW, added 6 GW this quarter
Q2'26MissedWyoming fuel cell June 30 deadline for hyperscaler decision
Extended to December 2026 with 'modified protection terms', AEP made concessions
Q1'26PendingProvide capital plan updates on regular third quarter cadence
Broke cadence with Q1 update due to rapid opportunity growth
Q1'26DeliveredMake progress on regulatory ROE improvements
Earned ROE improved to 9.3%, on track to 9.5% target
Q1'26DeliveredAdvance transmission project awards
Won projects in SPP, PJM, and MISO totaling nearly $5B
Q1'26ExceededContinue progress on load conversions from pipeline
Added 7GW in single quarter, doubled total pipeline in 6 months
Q1'26DeliveredReaffirm 2026 guidance range of $6.15-$6.45
Reaffirmed with Q1 results supporting confidence
Q1'26ExceededAchieve 9% long-term EPS CAGR through 2030
Upgraded to 'greater than 9%' based on expanded capital plan
Q4'25MissedBloom deployment progress by EEI conference
No additional Bloom customer announcements provided
Q4'25PendingWest Virginia reconsideration decision expected
Still waiting, no statutory timeline acknowledged
Q4'25PendingMore definitive ideas around financing by Q1 call
Trevor committed to financing clarity for $5-8B incremental projects
Q4'25PendingROE improvement to 9.5% by 2030
Language softened from specific target to 'continue improvement'
Q4'25MissedAnnual capital plan updates in Q3
Broke cadence to highlight $5-8B incremental projects in Q4
Q4'25Pending7-9% long-term growth rate through 2030
Reaffirmed with 9% CAGR expectation
Q4'25Pending2026 guidance of $6.15-$6.45 per share
Reaffirmed unchanged despite 28 GW load increase
Q4'25ExceededGuide to upper half of 2025 range ($5.75-$5.95)
Delivered $5.97, above the high end
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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