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Call sheet · Q2'27

Walmart (WMT)

Q2'27 earnings call · held August 20, 2026 · compared with the Q1'27 call · management-credibility review
5/12
Disclosure score
1 high, 4 medium, 1 low flags
Financial quality
Bottom line
The market will focus on the 5% sales beat, but the real story is the **70% YoY surge in Sparky usage and the 40% higher basket size**, a hidden driver of traffic that still lacks a monetization plan. Meanwhile, **inventory is now outpacing sales (6% vs 5%)**, a binding constraint that will pressure margins and free cash flow unless the supply chain catches up. Management’s language has shifted from “price investments will accelerate share gains now” to “we expect the lift in Q3,” signalling slower near‑term impact. My view changes if inventory‑to‑sales ratio exceeds 6% for two consecutive quarters or if Sparky’s incremental revenue remains unquantified beyond Q3.

The 30-second version

  • Sleeper story: AI‑driven Sparky is now the biggest traffic lever
  • Obvious headline - 5% sales growth - is a veneer
  • Red flag: metric drift and missing data

What changed this quarter

MetricQ1'27Q2'27Change
Net Sales (constant currency)$574 B (+5.7% YoY)$603 B (+5% YoY)Flat to slight slowdown
Adjusted EPS$0.72‑$0.74 guidance$0.78 (reported)+10c beat
Adjusted Operating Income (constant currency)+5% YoY+17.4% YoY+12.4ppt acceleration
Marketplace Net Sales+50% YoY (Q1)+52% YoY+2ppt incremental
Advertising Net Sales+36% YoY (U.S.)+38% YoY (global)+2ppt incremental
Membership Fee Revenue Growth17% YoY (full year)17% YoY (Q2)Flat
CapEx guidance≈3% of net sales FY26≈4% of net sales FY27+1ppt commitment
Tariff refund benefitAssumed zero in guidance750 bps boost to operating incomeOne‑off uplift
Rollbacks active≈7,200 rollbacks Q1≈11,000 rollbacks Q2+53% increase
Sparky usageWeekly active users up >100% YoY, AOV +35%Customers using Sparky up 70% YoY, AOV +40%Higher lift, but still no monetization roadmap

Accountability tracked

1 new promise made4 narrative shifts flagged2 prior promises scored
Inside the full report
The complete write-up covers the full promise ledger with kept/missed calls, disclosure-quality scoring, the metrics-vanished check, verification items, and the questions to ask next quarter.
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Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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