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Call sheet · Q4'25

Skyworks Solutions (SWKS)

Q4'25 earnings call · held November 4, 2025 · compared with the Q3'25 call · management-credibility review
9/12
Disclosure score
3 medium, 3 low flags
Financial quality
Bottom line
SLEEPER STORY: Android is quietly becoming a $400M+ annual business with Google Pixel ramp accelerating and continued Q1 growth guided - this wasn't in anyone's model a year ago. The obvious headline is mobile strength, but the real story is SWKS caught a perfect storm of Apple unit upside AND mix favoring their content, masking ongoing socket losses. The binding constraint is still customer concentration - despite Qorvo diversification talk, Apple dependency hit 67%. Management quote that matters: 'We do expect free cash flow to remain solid in fiscal '26 but below fiscal '25' - rare honest warning that the 27% FCF margin was artificially boosted. My view changes if Android growth accelerates beyond Google or if they start winning back Apple content sockets.

The 30-second version

  • SLEEPER STORY: Android business quietly surged 50% YoY to ~$100M+ with Google ramp still accelerating
  • Content losses at Apple were MORE than offset by unit/mix tailwinds this cycle
  • RED FLAG: Free cash flow guidance soft despite record $1.1B generation in FY25

What changed this quarter

MetricQ3'25Q4'25Change
Revenue$965M (8% YoY)$1.1B (11% YoY)14% sequential beat driven by mobile upside
Mobile Revenue~$598M (8% YoY)~$715M (7% YoY)21% sequential surge vs seasonal decline
Broad Markets Revenue~$367M (5% YoY)~$385M (7% YoY)3% sequential, now $1.5B annual run rate
Android RevenueJust under $100M$100M+ (up sequentially)Continued Google Pixel ramp acceleration
Largest Customer %63% of revenue67% of revenue400bps concentration increase
Gross Margin47.1%46.5%60bps compression despite mix improvement
Operating Margin23.3%24.0%70bps expansion on revenue leverage
EPS$1.33$1.7632% sequential beat on volume
Free Cash Flow$253M (26% margin)$1.1B annual (27% margin)Record annual generation but guided lower
Q1 Revenue Guide$1.0-1.03B guide given$975M-1.025B midpoint $1BSequential decline guided vs Q4 strength

Accountability tracked

8 new promises made4 narrative shifts flagged6 prior promises scored
Inside the full report
The complete write-up covers the full promise ledger with kept/missed calls, disclosure-quality scoring, the metrics-vanished check, verification items, and the questions to ask next quarter.
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Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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