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Management credibility scorecard

T-Mobile US (TMUS)

3 quarters tracked (Q4'25 to Q2'26) · latest call July 23, 2026
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100%
Kept of 14 resolved
14
Kept or exceeded
0
Missed
4
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · accretor

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q2'26July 23, 20268/123 medium, 4 low flags40Call sheet →
Q1'26April 28, 20268/122 medium, 4 low flags50Call sheet →
Q4'25February 11, 20269/123 medium, 3 low flags50Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q2'26ExceededT-Life reaching 25M+ MAUs
Hit 30M MAUs, ahead of expectations
Q2'26DeliveredIntegration of UScellular progressing well
Integration on track per Gopalan
Q2'26PendingPostpaid ARPA growth of 2.5-3% for full year
Q2 at 2% reported, tracking toward 3% per Osvaldik
Q2'26DeliveredContinue to be fastest-growing ISP
Maintained #1 position but growth decelerated to upper 400K range
Q2'26PendingLive translation beta launching soon
Still in beta despite 'soon' promise from Q1
Q2'26DeliveredRaise full year core adjusted EBITDA guide
Raised to $37.1B-$37.5B, up $200M at midpoint
Q1'26PendingAI and digital transformation driving efficiency
On track for $3B savings by 2027, chatbot handling 60% of customer questions but full impact still developing
Q1'26ExceededSignificant returns to shareholders
$6B returned in Q1, raised authorization by $3.6B to $18.2B total
Q1'26DeliveredContinued network leadership investment
Maintained $10B CapEx, deployed 4K greenfield sites using AI-driven customer coverage model
Q1'26ExceededStrong postpaid ARPA growth continuation
3.9% YoY vs guided 2.5-3% range - driven by premium plan uptake and back book dynamics
Q1'26DeliveredIndustry-leading postpaid net account growth
217K additions, 6% YoY growth, 10x better than competitor who reports accounts
Q1'26Exceeded15 million 5G broadband customers by 2030
Raised from previous 12 million by 2028 target - ahead of expectations
Q4'25ExceededT-Life digital transformation progress
73% of upgrades on T-Life vs 22% assisted in Q4 2024
Q4'25DeliveredPostpaid ARPA growth of 2.5-3%
Q4 organic ARPA growth of 3.6%, guiding 2.5-3% for 2026
Q4'25ExceededUScellular integration within 3 years
Accelerated to 2 years with $1.2B synergies vs $950M originally
Q4'25DeliveredContinue network leadership expansion
Speeds 85% faster than competitor on iPhone 17, J.D. Power #1 ranking
Q4'25Pending$3B AI/digital savings by 2027
Refined to $2.7B run rate with $1.3B in 2026, on track
Q4'25Exceeded12M fixed wireless customers by 2028
Now targeting 15M by 2030, ahead of original timeline
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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