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Management credibility scorecard

Ross Stores (ROST)

5 quarters tracked (Q3'25 to Q1'27) · latest call May 21, 2026
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76%
Kept of 21 resolved
16
Kept or exceeded
5
Missed
5
Still pending
Share count, 3 yrs/yr · flat

Score History

QuarterCall dateDisclosureFinancial qualityKeptMissed
Q1'27May 21, 202610/126 low flags21Call sheet →
Q2'26August 20, 20264/122 high, 3 medium, 1 low flags00Call sheet →
Q1'26May 22, 20256/121 high, 4 medium, 2 low flags14Call sheet →
Q4'25March 3, 202610/121 medium, 6 low flags70Call sheet →
Q3'25November 20, 202511/124 medium, 2 low flags60Call sheet →
Disclosure: the 6-item rubric, each scored 0-2, out of 12. Financial quality: flagged indicators by severity. Kept and missed count the prior-quarter promises scored on that call.

Promise Ledger · All Quarters

MarkedStatusPromise
Q1'27MissedStore refresh program continuation after evaluating learnings
Program paused after completing half the chain, timeline now unclear
Q1'27PendingSelf-checkout expansion based on positive pilot results
Still planned for more stores given continued positive results
Q1'27Pending$7.02-7.36 EPS guidance for full year
Raised to $7.50-7.74 after Q1 outperformance
Q1'27Pending110 new stores for 2026 (85 Ross, 25 dd's)
On track with 17 Q1 openings, 47 planned for Q2
Q1'27Exceeded3-4% full year comp guidance for 2026
Raised to 6-7% after Q1 beat, already tracking above new range
Q1'27Exceeded7-8% Q1 comp guidance
Delivered 17% comp, more than doubled the high end of guidance range
Q2'26PendingIn Q1, management promised to “maintain a pricing umbrella below mainstream retailers” despite inflation
No explicit price‑change guidance provided in Q2; pricing remains largely unchanged but no data to verify
Q1'26Delivered$1.275 billion annual stock repurchase program
On track with new $2.55B two-year authorization approved, showing capital allocation discipline
Q1'26MissedMarketing campaign driving higher customer engagement and traffic
Stopped mentioning marketing impact, suggests it wasn't delivering promised results
Q1'26MissedStrong momentum continuing into Q1 2026
Delivered flat comps despite claiming sequential improvement through Q1
Q1'26Pending5% total store base growth
Still mathematically possible with 90 openings but suggests slower growth trajectory
Q1'26Missed110 new store openings in 2026 (85 Ross, 25 dd's)
Quietly scaled back to approximately 90 stores (80 Ross, 10 dd's) without explanation
Q1'26MissedFull-year 2026 same-store sales up 3-4% and EPS $7.02-$7.36
Completely withdrew this guidance after one quarter, citing 'too many unknown variables'
Q4'25DeliveredMarketing campaign momentum
Continued strong traffic growth and customer engagement
Q4'25DeliveredLadies business improvement
Returned to strength in Q3, performed in line with chain in Q4
Q4'25DeliveredNew store productivity improvements
Confirmed 'one of our best years in a while' for new store productivity
Q4'25Exceededdd's reacceleration
25 stores planned for 2026 vs 10 in 2025, major acceleration
Q4'25DeliveredSelf-checkout expansion after positive results
Now in 80 stores and expanding further in 2026
Q4'25DeliveredStore refresh program continuing
Confirmed halfway through chain, though no specific completion timeline given
Q4'25DeliveredTariff-related costs in Q4 to be negligible
Q4 impact was indeed negligible after Q3 guidance
Q3'25DeliveredMaintain value proposition relative to traditional retailers
AUR increases remained modest while maintaining traffic growth
Q3'25ExceededWell-positioned for back half of year
Q3 results and raised Q4 guidance exceed 'well-positioned' framing
Q3'25DeliveredStore refresh program halfway completion by year-end
Confirmed halfway through chain with 2026 completion on track
Q3'25DeliveredLadies business branded strategy would show results
Ladies now comp-enhancing vs drag in prior quarters, validating investment thesis
Q3'25DeliveredSequential improvement in sales trends
+7% comp vs +2% in Q2 represents 500 bps acceleration as promised
Q3'25ExceededTariff mitigation would improve through the year
Q4 impact dropped to negligible vs modest pressure expected, full-year cost $0.15 vs $0.22-0.25 range
Each row is a promise from the prior call, scored against the quarter in "Marked". Kept-promise rate counts resolved promises only; pending is excluded.
Promise-kept rate counts resolved promises only (pending excluded).
Scores, kept-promise rates, and flags on this site reflect the author's opinion, applying a stated methodology to statements management made on public earnings calls. Informational and educational purposes only - not investment advice, a recommendation, or an offer to buy or sell any security. Sources believed reliable but not guaranteed; the author may hold positions in the securities discussed.

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